Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x545ab8cf2a2ba7614edcaac942ab4b48708cc1c989717ded5b4df29322ac2269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 6,288$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.42 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 30c | 2,887$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.1 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 1,342$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.02 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 962.04$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.6 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 72c | 794.32$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.41 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 23c | 618.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 557.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 78c | 434.72$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 403.7$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 30c | 395.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 360.7$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 37c | 295.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 13c | 230.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…8a48backed Yes | 26c | 206.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 20c | 206.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Yes | 30c | 147$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 23c | 141.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 33c | 133.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 30c | 132.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 28c | 123.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 111.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 107.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Yes | 30c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 23c | 85.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 28c | 84.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 18c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 16c | 77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 17c | 75.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Yes | 30c | 65.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 64.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 17c | 62.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 72c | 54.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 48.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…b0c4backed Yes | 49c | 42.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 72c | 39.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 78c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…c20ebacked Yes | 44c | 28.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 73c | 23.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 59c | 17.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 75c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 78c | 14.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?Yes won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.