Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa9cbf317fa64384a330791b02c6bdc29bb2add863f2a992356853a3b6ddc6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 16c | 11,572$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.06 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 10c | 6,361$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 5,398$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.55 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 5,012$3,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.7 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 72c | 5,000$3,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 61c | 1,403$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.17 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 853.32$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.66 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 77c | 692.63$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 12c | 402.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 10c | 392$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 389.14$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 63c | 377.59$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 38c | 373.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 8c | 262.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae83…0f9dbacked Yes | 5c | 202$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 8c | 199.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 190.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 33c | 189.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 70c | 175$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 62c | 157.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 9c | 142.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 21c | 123.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 39c | 109.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 19c | 99.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 20c | 90.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 11c | 90$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 30c | 89.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 37c | 87.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 20c | 85.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 16c | 81.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 37c | 79.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 63c | 77.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 79c | 74.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 14c | 74.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 64c | 63.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…a526backed No | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314f…e463backed No | 72c | 50.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 71c | 45.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed No | 72c | 37.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed No | 80c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 71c | 36.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 40c | 26.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 72c | 25.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 70c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.