MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5568b104507fc465a76721da22405c763bf1b09fe7243e858080ab907840a5af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Red Sox, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $440,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,715
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Red Sox | 66c | 151,115$99,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,320.24 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Red Sox | 35c | 81,697$28,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,187.89 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Padres | 34c | 73,692$25,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,636.7 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 56c | 50,490$28,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,108.38 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 55c | 40,194$22,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,075.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Padres | 48c | 37,335$18,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,314.37 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 51c | 25,493$13,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,406.77 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Padres | 34c | 25,000$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox | 45c | 20,000$8,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,949.95 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Padres | 72c | 15,046$10,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.84 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Padres | 52c | 9,541$4,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,583.77 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 67c | 8,919$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.47 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Padres | 56c | 8,107$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.11 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 40c | 5,380$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.01 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Padres | 57c | 5,049$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.09 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Red Sox | 45c | 5,030$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Red Sox | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Padres | 50c | 4,535$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.66 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Padres | 55c | 3,921$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.42 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 36c | 3,468$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.5 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 36c | 3,285$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.57 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox | 44c | 3,035$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.33 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Red Sox | 52c | 2,519$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.43 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Padres | 56c | 2,505$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.77 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Padres | 66c | 2,301$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.28 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Sox | 38c | 2,202$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.31 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…5295backed Red Sox | 49c | 2,047$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Padres | 54c | 2,008$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.41 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Padres | 55c | 2,000$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.98 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 61c | 1,797$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.94 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Red Sox | 39c | 1,794$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.17 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Padres | 55c | 1,753$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.32 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Red Sox | 30c | 1,674$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Padres | 55c | 1,619$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.41 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Padres | 53c | 1,605$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.9 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Padres | 56c | 1,500$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 45c | 1,488$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.6 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Padres | 47c | 1,312$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.1 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Sox | 45c | 1,276$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.25 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Padres | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.99 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Red Sox | 27c | 1,243$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 56c | 1,230$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.24 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Red Sox | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 42c | 1,089$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.53 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Red Sox | 57c | 1,006$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.09 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Red Sox | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Red Sox | 45c | 996.82$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…2775backed Padres | 66c | 987.67$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.81 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 56c | 975.55$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.98 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Padres | 57c | 957.99$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.94 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Padres | 60c | 905.37$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.37 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Padres | 48c | 827.63$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.8 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ca9bbacked Red Sox | 72c | 726.25$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Red Sox | 44c | 682$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Red Sox | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Padres | 65c | 663.85$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.81 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 40c | 592.27$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.22 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 564.64$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.32 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 39c | 544.55$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.23 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Red Sox | 45c | 485$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Red Sox | 55c | 464.82$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.53 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Red Sox | 13c | 458.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Red Sox | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Padres | 45c | 432.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.85 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Red Sox | 43c | 429$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 32c | 400.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Red Sox | 60c | 388.97$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.34 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Sox | 45c | 377.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Padres | 45c | 365.51$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 44c | 340$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Padres | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 42c | 299.94$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Padres | 57c | 283.26$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Padres | 53c | 279.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Red Sox | 46c | 252.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Padres | 79c | 248.42$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Padres | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Padres | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 58c | 229.31$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be9…33a2backed Padres | 34c | 228$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Padres | 76c | 226.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Red Sox | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Padres | 55c | 221$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Padres | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox | 43c | 205.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Red Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Red Sox | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Padres | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Red Sox | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Padres | 56c | 197.96$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.