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Tennis · resolved market

ITF Kayseri: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Keshav Chopra

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Keshav Chopraof Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine, Keshav Chopra
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine7c3,757$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.212,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Keshav Chopra60c1,668$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.8524961.4%153 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine55c1,510$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.686,55054.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L+287.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Keshav Chopra42c1,428$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.249744.3%43 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine39c889.61$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.995,35228.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L-21.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Keshav Chopra37c514.18$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.414,99238.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L-19.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine50c441.76$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.911,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Keshav Chopra45c440.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3247534.5%164 W · 311 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Keshav Chopra60c379.83$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.494,51051.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L+135.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Keshav Chopra52c353.44$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.861,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine38c341.27$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.716,64946.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L-38.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Keshav Chopra58c339.79$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0973951.7%382 W · 357 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Keshav Chopra51c292.42$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7392352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine56c262.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0172755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine19c262.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.962,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Keshav Chopra38c257.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.965,55348.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keshav Chopra65c190.29$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.318,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine32c168.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.166,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine33c168.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5670730%212 W · 495 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Keshav Chopra35c166.44$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.054,68448.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L+35.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Keshav Chopra61c152.26$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9758648.5%284 W · 302 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Keshav Chopra55c149.97$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4935457.3%203 W · 151 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Keshav Chopra48c138.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.652,09052.2%1,091 W · 999 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43f…3b20backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411338.9%44 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Keshav Chopra42c114.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.291,05648.3%510 W · 546 L+43.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine19c100.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2275350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Keshav Chopra37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6333134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Keshav Chopra65c98.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1231366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1112…90dbbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine15c98.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine46c94.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2765259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Keshav Chopra57c92.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.758,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine41c86.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2160241.2%248 W · 354 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6630040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Keshav Chopra31c86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.349044.4%40 W · 50 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.448738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5bd…226cbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine31c71.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1915340.5%62 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a4…dbc9backed Keshav Chopra37c69.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.935040%20 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine75c69.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.861,17952.8%623 W · 556 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine46c63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2529551.5%152 W · 143 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine44c62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.071,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine18c58.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.286432.8%21 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine45c43.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4387060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine58c43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9462727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine43c39.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.944,37652.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L+67.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine47c36.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9274746.1%344 W · 403 L-30.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine42c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.271,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Keshav Chopra61c35.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0351445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Keshav Chopra56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.533656.8%191 W · 145 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092a…8577backed Keshav Chopra49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.619943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Keshav Chopra61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.710252%53 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Keshav Chopra39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.392046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine59c28.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.18,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine58c28.56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5627149.1%133 W · 138 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine54c26.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1333462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked Keshav Chopra49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.224240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a6…6684backed Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine56c18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.119564.2%61 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.