NHL · resolved market
AHL: Calgary Wranglers vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5654d14f2392c88cd126fa687626307872d76866132b390af31eb300f4aec184
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coachella Valley Firebirdsof Calgary Wranglers, Coachella Valley Firebirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,432 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…4e34backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 40c | 1,135$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5c…7256backed Calgary Wranglers | 60c | 1,012$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 59c | 928.11$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.52 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x123b…5398backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 37c | 548$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…c352backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 40c | 543$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9c31backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 40c | 513$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…7f3dbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 41c | 502$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…9eeebacked Calgary Wranglers | 60c | 449$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…97eebacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 41c | 394$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…0c6cbacked Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 374$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…6219backed Calgary Wranglers | 63c | 366$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a368backed Calgary Wranglers | 60c | 324$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ac…3b05backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 41c | 293$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…e3dbbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 40c | 292.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 57c | 262.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…d308backed Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…3c25backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Calgary Wranglers | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1815…e1d4backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 40c | 235$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 67c | 229.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 222.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…6204backed Calgary Wranglers | 60c | 208$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…956fbacked Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 206$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…dcb0backed Calgary Wranglers | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…c205backed Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 189$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…56bfbacked Calgary Wranglers | 63c | 182$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Calgary Wranglers | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…2c03backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 41c | 181$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 41c | 176.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcac1…1b0fbacked Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 144$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…5729backed Calgary Wranglers | 30c | 134$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb6…9252backed Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 128$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c2…0e8abacked Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 128$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…d555backed Calgary Wranglers | 60c | 123$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Calgary Wranglers | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…2b8fbacked Calgary Wranglers | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Calgary Wranglers | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1cf9backed Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 117$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…b2c9backed Calgary Wranglers | 60c | 103$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Calgary Wranglers | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…d125backed Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4a…166cbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…cd1cbacked Calgary Wranglers | 60c | 94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ad…f79dbacked Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…3184backed Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 58c | 68.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Calgary Wranglers | 42c | 65.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…4accbacked Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 76c | 51.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Calgary Wranglers | 58c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Calgary Wranglers | 41c | 45.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 73c | 43.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 68c | 41.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Calgary Wranglers | 35c | 40.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 58c | 39.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Calgary Wranglers | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Calgary Wranglers | 41c | 36.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 33.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de8…5dbdbacked Calgary Wranglers | 59c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429f…cbbdbacked Calgary Wranglers | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 26.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc3…ba8ebacked Calgary Wranglers | 43c | 26.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Calgary Wranglers | 62c | 20.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.