Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x573058daaad38d1ee70a55066518a47fe212e932748e3f4019626efdf48ab666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marshall Thundering Herdof Southern Miss Golden Eagles, Marshall Thundering Herd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 18c | 15,943$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.31 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 31c | 1,149$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 66c | 1,070$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.16 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 66c | 913.82$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.48 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 69c | 890.67$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 6c | 857.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 33c | 730.58$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 6c | 703.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 23c | 563.04$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 18c | 506.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 73c | 501.65$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.29 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 32c | 412.19$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 69c | 348.69$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 17c | 294.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 22c | 274.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 30c | 256.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 12c | 251.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 15c | 247.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 8c | 229$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 66c | 192.21$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 36c | 147.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 75c | 108.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…1ccfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 14c | 81.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 30c | 59.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 22c | 53.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 74c | 51.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 71c | 38.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 68c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…3fa5backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 34c | 32.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 32c | 32.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 41c | 29.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…147fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 67c | 16.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.