TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Pavel Kotov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cezar Cretuof Cezar Cretu, Pavel Kotov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a48…dc30backed Pavel Kotov0c24,926$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.938038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Pavel Kotov59c2,214$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.586758.2%39 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cezar Cretu29c1,978$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.359,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Pavel Kotov71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00045957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Pavel Kotov73c1,404$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.621,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Pavel Kotov60c1,127$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67656757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Cezar Cretu37c1,100$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69314657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Cezar Cretu41c1,058$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.459348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Cezar Cretu40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Cezar Cretu42c999.98$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cezar Cretu68c950.75$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.244,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cezar Cretu29c906.31$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.278,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Cezar Cretu75c790.31$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5833163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Pavel Kotov20c782.33$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5479040.6%321 W · 469 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cezar Cretu38c782.18$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.454,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pavel Kotov25c728.35$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Cezar Cretu26c659.41$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.61,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Cezar Cretu32c637.57$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.154,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1da…441ebacked Pavel Kotov73c556.93$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.163669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Pavel Kotov44c546.38$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.841,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5337…329abacked Cezar Cretu41c508.44$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pavel Kotov69c499.88$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.299,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Cezar Cretu41c487.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.466,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Cezar Cretu12c479.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.3914933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Pavel Kotov59c452.32$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.873,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Pavel Kotov62c403.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Pavel Kotov75c402$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.422667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Cezar Cretu66c401.34$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1164346.2%297 W · 346 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Cezar Cretu46c352.76$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4969244.4%307 W · 385 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Pavel Kotov54c349.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9923247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Cezar Cretu49c338.05$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.165,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cezar Cretu38c309.31$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.853,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Pavel Kotov65c307.7$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.261,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Cezar Cretu40c287.7$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.633,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Pavel Kotov77c268.29$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.586749.3%33 W · 34 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Pavel Kotov16c267.18$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4433540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Cezar Cretu38c262.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.157,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Cezar Cretu40c247.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.875,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4498…473dbacked Cezar Cretu41c224$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Pavel Kotov58c220$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.642125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Cezar Cretu38c208.58$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3239149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Pavel Kotov57c174.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Pavel Kotov60c165$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9965942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Pavel Kotov63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016055%88 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Pavel Kotov64c156.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018258.8%107 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cezar Cretu71c155$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.156,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Pavel Kotov12c146.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0685624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Cezar Cretu39c124.85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7732935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Cezar Cretu63c121.22$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.499244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Cezar Cretu39c121.2$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6151339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Cezar Cretu45c119.86$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Pavel Kotov65c112.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.062,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Pavel Kotov45c111.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.832,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Cezar Cretu35c102.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7299649.5%493 W · 503 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Pavel Kotov11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Pavel Kotov41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4133352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cezar Cretu59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Pavel Kotov76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7619945.2%90 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Pavel Kotov62c89.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7924846%114 W · 134 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cezar Cretu26c84.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.473,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Pavel Kotov61c81.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013444%59 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pavel Kotov65c79.79$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.728,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Pavel Kotov63c79.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.781,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Pavel Kotov63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Pavel Kotov64c78.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Cezar Cretu35c75.87$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.122,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Cezar Cretu35c75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.751,26944.8%568 W · 701 L-5.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Pavel Kotov80c74.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.141,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Cezar Cretu63c70.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.891,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f25…4f11backed Pavel Kotov23c69.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.254854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Pavel Kotov69c66.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8291755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba2…eb93backed Pavel Kotov63c65$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.957364.4%47 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed1…18a8backed Cezar Cretu55c63.1$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3913256.1%74 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Cezar Cretu24c61.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9332732.1%105 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Cezar Cretu37c61.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3285637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Cezar Cretu20c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.268338.2%261 W · 422 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a0…f000backed Pavel Kotov72c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.95550.9%28 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Pavel Kotov54c59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8697644.6%435 W · 541 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e5…f52cbacked Pavel Kotov63c55.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353554.3%19 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Cezar Cretu44c54.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.486,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Cezar Cretu44c54.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5551347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Pavel Kotov61c52.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.970456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Cezar Cretu47c50.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.662,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Cezar Cretu41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Pavel Kotov69c49.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342,63946.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cezar Cretu42c48.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1356927.2%155 W · 414 L+22.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Pavel Kotov78c45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21,28965.2%841 W · 448 L+11.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Pavel Kotov29c40.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8678350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Pavel Kotov30c34.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.523427.4%64 W · 170 L-40.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-48.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Cezar Cretu78c33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.331,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Cezar Cretu37c32.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2220048%96 W · 104 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Pavel Kotov63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019251.6%99 W · 93 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Pavel Kotov64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2064755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Cezar Cretu46c30.49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4617656.3%99 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Cezar Cretu41c29.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.281,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Pavel Kotov43c29.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5166834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x189a…ec5fbacked Pavel Kotov35c28.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe903…0b88backed Pavel Kotov47c28.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.322429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Cezar Cretu69c26.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.031,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Pavel Kotov54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.141,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.