Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57ffd9022bb895deb91f1c2abb79fdd704272256a80326f31d9dfbacd0485354
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc79…3edcbacked Yes | 32c | 3,035$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…b337backed Yes | 1c | 2,225$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,581$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,530$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…857abacked No | 68c | 1,465$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b3…31eebacked No | 68c | 1,460$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,062$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 52c | 820.37$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.95 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 46c | 807.97$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.14 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 13c | 775.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 742.9$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 14c | 728.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 6c | 701.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…a115backed Yes | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked No | 27c | 548.7$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.49 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 16c | 542.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 12c | 477.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 353 | 23.2%82 W · 271 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 67c | 408.07$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 26c | 405.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 8c | 368.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 10c | 323.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…00ccbacked No | 48c | 313.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 298.75$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 17c | 290$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 24c | 288.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 69c | 276.81$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -12.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed No | 58c | 266.83$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.73 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 251.12$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 56c | 249.97$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 60c | 229.81$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 41c | 222.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 17c | 208.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 12c | 206.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 167.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed No | 27c | 166.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.63 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 73c | 165.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed No | 75c | 165.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…7f1cbacked Yes | 8c | 164.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 31c | 160.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 21c | 153$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…4360backed Yes | 33c | 150.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 19c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…1948backed Yes | 33c | 135.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…4828backed Yes | 13c | 131.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf60…a254backed Yes | 47c | 126.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0205…123bbacked Yes | 21c | 126$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 11c | 125.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…63cabacked Yes | 19c | 124.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a82…454abacked Yes | 26c | 117$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 30c | 113.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 23c | 109.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…fc91backed Yes | 10c | 108.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…b982backed Yes | 13c | 108.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed Yes | 12c | 108.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf736…a0d3backed Yes | 23c | 106$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 32c | 102.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 38c | 102.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…5e77backed Yes | 23c | 102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 26c | 101.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…8a7bbacked Yes | 45c | 101.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb254…c972backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040a…118dbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed No | 74c | 99.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc97…da82backed Yes | 48c | 98.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…7daabacked No | 57c | 98.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 46c | 98.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…57b3backed No | 70c | 96.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 105 | 77.1%81 W · 24 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed No | 73c | 94.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…108dbacked Yes | 43c | 94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…4c83backed Yes | 21c | 89.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 35c | 87.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed No | 76c | 84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 13c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…3ac2backed Yes | 37c | 80.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 23c | 78.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 20c | 78.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…8a4dbacked Yes | 29c | 77.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 23c | 77.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…0c67backed Yes | 26c | 74.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 58c | 73.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 30c | 71.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ed…bb68backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 71c | 70.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 29c | 70.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed No | 71c | 70.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 236 | 73.3%173 W · 63 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…cc41backed Yes | 25c | 66.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…68f9backed No | 30c | 66.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb507…7f2abacked Yes | 29c | 63.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…db02backed No | 77c | 60.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 69c | 58.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…63adbacked No | 22c | 57.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…2f5ebacked No | 74c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc488…3f68backed Yes | 30c | 56.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +84%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.