College Football · resolved market
Maine vs. Towson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58256c6383f76a48477f5f4d9a07303edc5c34e17c7d3766253a728c1f42ffb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maineof Maine, Towson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Maine | 45c | 2,813$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Towson | 59c | 2,590$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Towson | 56c | 2,248$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed Towson | 58c | 2,000$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maine | 62c | 1,900$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Maine | 44c | 1,598$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Maine | 52c | 857$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Towson | 61c | 549.74$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Maine | 72c | 519.56$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Maine | 44c | 500$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Maine | 43c | 499.28$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Towson | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Maine | 39c | 368$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +509.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Towson | 55c | 352.45$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa466…1c77backed Maine | 48c | 330$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Maine | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Towson | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maine | 60c | 124$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Maine | 40c | 112$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Maine | 68c | 99.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Maine | 43c | 87.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…20c3backed Towson | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Towson | 45c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Maine | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Maine | 39c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…8be7backed Maine | 68c | 69.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Maine | 58c | 62.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…0e6fbacked Maine | 60c | 61.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Maine | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Towson | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Towson | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8384…3953backed Maine | 66c | 49.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Towson | 44c | 40.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Towson | 59c | 39.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed Towson | 59c | 39.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…6790backed Towson | 58c | 33.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Towson | 37c | 28.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…08a0backed Towson | 63c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Maine | 54c | 24.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maine vs. Towsonthis page
- O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Towson (-2.5)Maine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.