Tennis · resolved market
Foggia: Xinyu Gao vs Darya Astakhova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x595dabc921c0bb611f3d09dc964e298401cde70d954d29252097b1e37df5d0c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darya Astakhovaof Xinyu Gao, Darya Astakhova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Xinyu Gao | 0c | 36,360$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb334…1ae1backed Xinyu Gao | 5c | 10,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…c66cbacked Xinyu Gao | 24c | 3,272$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.24 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Xinyu Gao | 50c | 2,986$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Darya Astakhova | 67c | 2,597$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.07 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bb94backed Xinyu Gao | 16c | 2,563$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Darya Astakhova | 80c | 2,306$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.57 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Darya Astakhova | 56c | 2,083$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.9 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Xinyu Gao | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Darya Astakhova | 45c | 1,801$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.17 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Xinyu Gao | 38c | 1,172$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.49 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Xinyu Gao | 19c | 1,138$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Darya Astakhova | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…5349backed Xinyu Gao | 55c | 760.84$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Xinyu Gao | 56c | 601.6$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.9 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Darya Astakhova | 76c | 563.57$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.26 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked Darya Astakhova | 43c | 510.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf0…4972backed Darya Astakhova | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xinyu Gao | 4c | 488.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Xinyu Gao | 56c | 401.71$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.65 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Xinyu Gao | 57c | 344.83$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.55 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Darya Astakhova | 44c | 332.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Darya Astakhova | 46c | 306$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Darya Astakhova | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Xinyu Gao | 57c | 277$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Xinyu Gao | 54c | 267.11$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Darya Astakhova | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Xinyu Gao | 16c | 191.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Xinyu Gao | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Darya Astakhova | 48c | 174.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Xinyu Gao | 48c | 169.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Darya Astakhova | 44c | 158.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Xinyu Gao | 50c | 130.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Xinyu Gao | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Darya Astakhova | 73c | 104.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Darya Astakhova | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Xinyu Gao | 56c | 77.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Darya Astakhova | 77c | 76.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Darya Astakhova | 48c | 75.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Xinyu Gao | 54c | 71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Darya Astakhova | 71c | 69.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Darya Astakhova | 79c | 66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…b8dcbacked Xinyu Gao | 46c | 62.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Xinyu Gao | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Xinyu Gao | 47c | 57.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Xinyu Gao | 55c | 57.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Xinyu Gao | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Xinyu Gao | 56c | 53.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Darya Astakhova | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Xinyu Gao | 46c | 52.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xinyu Gao | 59c | 51.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Darya Astakhova | 70c | 51.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc06…d3b7backed Xinyu Gao | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Xinyu Gao | 36c | 42.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…d2a4backed Xinyu Gao | 39c | 39.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Xinyu Gao | 54c | 37.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Xinyu Gao | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Darya Astakhova | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Darya Astakhova | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Xinyu Gao | 50c | 31.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…88a5backed Xinyu Gao | 40c | 30.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Darya Astakhova | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Xinyu Gao | 40c | 29.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Xinyu Gao | 44c | 29.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 202 | 59.4%120 W · 82 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xinyu Gao | 41c | 28.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Xinyu Gao | 46c | 25.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Darya Astakhova | 50c | 24.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Xinyu Gao | 58c | 17.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Darya Astakhova | 78c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.