Tennis · resolved market
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Daniel Milavsky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5969652580b4fba19c23d59ee25795b0adb5b269732301fd5b43f4dd751ffb3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liam Draxlof Liam Draxl, Daniel Milavsky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Daniel Milavsky | 8c | 26,544$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Daniel Milavsky | 7c | 9,000$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.28 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Daniel Milavsky | 10c | 5,461$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.83 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Liam Draxl | 70c | 3,933$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.98 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Daniel Milavsky | 30c | 2,264$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.47 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed Liam Draxl | 69c | 2,000$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.43 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Daniel Milavsky | 8c | 954.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 788.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daniel Milavsky | 31c | 599.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Daniel Milavsky | 23c | 545.53$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…8159backed Daniel Milavsky | 8c | 507.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Daniel Milavsky | 30c | 499.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Liam Draxl | 68c | 434.63$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.63 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liam Draxl | 75c | 351.04$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Daniel Milavsky | 28c | 330.62$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Milavsky | 32c | 329.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Daniel Milavsky | 32c | 318.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Daniel Milavsky | 8c | 307.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Daniel Milavsky | 9c | 278$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Liam Draxl | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Daniel Milavsky | 33c | 241.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Liam Draxl | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…a7b6backed Daniel Milavsky | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Daniel Milavsky | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Liam Draxl | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Daniel Milavsky | 16c | 197$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Liam Draxl | 69c | 181.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Daniel Milavsky | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Milavsky | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acd…d0b6backed Liam Draxl | 69c | 146.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Liam Draxl | 73c | 136.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Daniel Milavsky | 27c | 133.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Daniel Milavsky | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Liam Draxl | 72c | 126.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 125.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Liam Draxl | 80c | 123.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 189 | 68.8%130 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Daniel Milavsky | 33c | 117.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069a…1dc4backed Liam Draxl | 69c | 113.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Liam Draxl | 68c | 101$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Daniel Milavsky | 28c | 90.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Daniel Milavsky | 14c | 87.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Liam Draxl | 79c | 86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Daniel Milavsky | 31c | 85.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Daniel Milavsky | 33c | 83.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Liam Draxl | 78c | 83.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Liam Draxl | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Liam Draxl | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Liam Draxl | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Daniel Milavsky | 15c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Milavsky | 20c | 63.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Liam Draxl | 76c | 60.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Daniel Milavsky | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Liam Draxl | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Daniel Milavsky | 28c | 51.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Liam Draxl | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Daniel Milavsky | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Liam Draxl | 69c | 43.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Liam Draxl | 78c | 42.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Daniel Milavsky | 28c | 36.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa594…fe78backed Liam Draxl | 69c | 34.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Liam Draxl | 74c | 34.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Liam Draxl | 67c | 32.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Liam Draxl | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Liam Draxl | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Liam Draxl | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a4…9f6ebacked Liam Draxl | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Liam Draxl | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963c…c15bbacked Liam Draxl | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Liam Draxl | 75c | 21.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Liam Draxl | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Liam Draxl | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 217 | 59.4%129 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Liam Draxl | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Liam Draxl | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Liam Draxl | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Granby: Liam Draxl vs Daniel Milavskythis page
- Draxl vs. Milavsky: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Draxl vs MilavskyDraxl won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.