MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a05f3816b69f9fd690db4b37946c0996972fc77914ed53b7d9f189d65bddf10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Los Angeles Angels, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 20,331$8,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,681.81 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 7,059$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.25 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 24c | 6,957$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 6,002$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.68 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 5,154$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.52 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 5,001$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.92 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 3,756$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.1 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 3,051$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.42 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Texas Rangers | 80c | 2,787$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.03 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Texas Rangers | 71c | 2,784$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.2 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 2,415$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…651abacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 1,912$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 1,797$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Los Angeles Angels | 8c | 1,400$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Los Angeles Angels | 13c | 1,397$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.07 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…7d83backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 711.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 698.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 686$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.85 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Los Angeles Angels | 20c | 642.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 599.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 450$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 228.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 179.17$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 144.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 131$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Texas Rangers | 64c | 126.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…3981backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 95.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 94.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Los Angeles Angels | 34c | 68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…ea48backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 58.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Texas Rangers | 74c | 45.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Texas Rangers | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0d…3ec8backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 30.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 23.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.