Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Orleans Privateers vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aac0d5db573d4ffb1d3cad2388e3b49a2b2d17973c170a457c9dba159d9198a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 47c | 145,067$68,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,230.26 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 54c | 63,000$34,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,019.97 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 32,500$16,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,897.63 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 32,458$16,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,878.3 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 52c | 24,143$12,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,554.15 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Over | 50c | 16,125$8,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,083.51 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 12,261$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.38 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 52c | 10,926$5,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,681.52 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 52c | 10,885$5,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,679 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 48c | 10,576$5,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.5 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 57c | 2,992$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 2,807$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 54c | 2,781$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 1,075$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 51c | 974.99$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 862.37$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.43 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 46c | 839.98$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.59 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 792.45$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 56c | 714.35$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Under | 56c | 710.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 681$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.93 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 53c | 643.4$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 52c | 537.07$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.28 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 406.25$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 50c | 385$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 368.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.51 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 52c | 266.89$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 260.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 55c | 247.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 47c | 214.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.73 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 56c | 143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 46c | 139.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 48c | 114.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 52c | 52.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 52c | 51.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…45ecbacked Under | 51c | 41.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…da51backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 48c | 36.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999b…6f26backed Over | 50c | 31.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 49c | 29.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bb…15eebacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 46c | 28.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 53c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Orleans Privateers vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 151.5this page
- New Orleans Privateers vs. East Texas A&M LionsNew Orleans Privateers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.