Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wright State Raiders vs. Green Bay Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bbe6d929142c915c4c358d7db7e3908d25ef20fb81eb1f06ea512d98a9fe280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Wright State Raiders, Green Bay Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Green Bay Phoenix | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 40c | 2,510$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wright State Raiders | 60c | 1,742$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…cd8cbacked Wright State Raiders | 63c | 1,657$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…a992backed Green Bay Phoenix | 37c | 1,655$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 6c | 1,484$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 10c | 949$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Wright State Raiders | 63c | 934.42$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.89 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Green Bay Phoenix | 9c | 861.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 7c | 643$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 37c | 625$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.25 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Green Bay Phoenix | 8c | 431.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 25c | 372.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Wright State Raiders | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 38c | 234.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Wright State Raiders | 73c | 232.88$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wright State Raiders | 64c | 225$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Green Bay Phoenix | 18c | 220.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Green Bay Phoenix | 12c | 200.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Wright State Raiders | 63c | 199.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Wright State Raiders | 61c | 174.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Wright State Raiders | 66c | 152.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 37c | 151.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Green Bay Phoenix | 38c | 143$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Green Bay Phoenix | 28c | 142.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7b72backed Wright State Raiders | 64c | 112.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wright State Raiders | 75c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wright State Raiders | 62c | 96.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Green Bay Phoenix | 12c | 83.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Green Bay Phoenix | 38c | 71.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 37c | 41.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Green Bay Phoenix | 36c | 37.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wright State Raiders | 76c | 36.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Wright State Raiders | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Wright State Raiders | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wright State Raiders | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wright State Raiders vs. Green Bay Phoenixthis page
- Wright State Raiders vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 144.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.