CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bf27ffe02b56744ed570dad7dfd49d969ac959b15b6b80b683200007a885c69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, Rebels Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rebels Gaming | 25c | 2,850$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked Walczaki | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Rebels Gaming | 39c | 1,150$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.65 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rebels Gaming | 26c | 768.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Walczaki | 62c | 655.88$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.19 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rebels Gaming | 10c | 569.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Walczaki | 70c | 315$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rebels Gaming | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Rebels Gaming | 36c | 299.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rebels Gaming | 34c | 298.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Walczaki | 72c | 279.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Walczaki | 50c | 274$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Walczaki | 74c | 270.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Walczaki | 74c | 201.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Walczaki | 74c | 196.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Walczaki | 76c | 193.15$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Walczaki | 75c | 190.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked Walczaki | 68c | 147.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Rebels Gaming | 44c | 137.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Walczaki | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Rebels Gaming | 18c | 130.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Rebels Gaming | 28c | 110.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Walczaki | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Rebels Gaming | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Walczaki | 59c | 97.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Rebels Gaming | 25c | 93.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rebels Gaming | 28c | 91.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Walczaki | 65c | 90.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Walczaki | 73c | 79.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Rebels Gaming | 44c | 79.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki | 66c | 78.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Walczaki | 73c | 76.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Walczaki | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb39…326dbacked Rebels Gaming | 27c | 58.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Walczaki | 66c | 58.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…7f9bbacked Rebels Gaming | 39c | 50.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Walczaki | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Rebels Gaming | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Walczaki | 61c | 49.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Walczaki | 52c | 47.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Rebels Gaming | 47c | 46.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7e34backed Rebels Gaming | 30c | 38.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Walczaki | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Rebels Gaming | 36c | 33.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Walczaki | 79c | 27.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed Walczaki | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Walczaki | 59c | 25.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Walczaki | 59c | 24.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…5191backed Walczaki | 72c | 21.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Walczaki | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Walczaki | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Rebels Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Rebels Gaming - Map 1 WinnerRebels Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Rebels Gaming - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.