Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c3ccbe37bdfe0f438c243f6c324ea7c58564dc954f3b99e547f5a1ec3ce01f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heart of Midlothian FCof SK Rapid Wien, Heart of Midlothian FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0744…d0f7backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 50c | 6,026$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SK Rapid Wien | 43c | 5,767$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.05 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 65c | 3,449$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.98 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 45c | 2,574$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.58 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SK Rapid Wien | 38c | 2,472$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.53 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 58c | 2,010$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.64 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SK Rapid Wien | 16c | 1,950$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.95 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed SK Rapid Wien | 52c | 987.87$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked SK Rapid Wien | 43c | 767.44$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 48c | 601.67$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.87 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SK Rapid Wien | 50c | 518.56$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.28 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked SK Rapid Wien | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed SK Rapid Wien | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SK Rapid Wien | 42c | 248.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked SK Rapid Wien | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 58c | 153.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 60c | 141.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked SK Rapid Wien | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 37.1%102 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 59c | 129.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked SK Rapid Wien | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 54c | 86.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 58c | 73.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed SK Rapid Wien | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed SK Rapid Wien | 40c | 50.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…4eb1backed SK Rapid Wien | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…44e9backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 63c | 44.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 62c | 37.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 56c | 34.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked SK Rapid Wien | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed SK Rapid Wien | 38c | 33.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9491…5eabbacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 59c | 32.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 46c | 30.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Heart of Midlothian FC | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 57c | 27.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 59c | 26.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed SK Rapid Wien | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed SK Rapid Wien | 42c | 24.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -20.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 62c | 17.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Heart of Midlothian FC | 62c | 16.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-1.5)this page
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: SK Rapid Wien O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Team to AdvanceHeart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)SK Rapid Wien won
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.