TailMyPicks
Market

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Team to Advance

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heart of Midlothian FCof SK Rapid Wien, Heart of Midlothian FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,693 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cf…30aabacked Heart of Midlothian FC73c2,330$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Heart of Midlothian FC30c1,298$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.821533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Heart of Midlothian FC72c1,179$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.233652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ab…f844backed Heart of Midlothian FC26c1,027$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+291.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Heart of Midlothian FC53c944.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b55…1167backed SK Rapid Wien75c943.56$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c2…5741backed SK Rapid Wien75c936.51$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Heart of Midlothian FC54c925.92$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.92450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+64.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Heart of Midlothian FC25c799.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Heart of Midlothian FC66c763.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.292544%11 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Heart of Midlothian FC75c755.2$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.542142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Heart of Midlothian FC25c752.09$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.831,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed SK Rapid Wien74c741.87$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.061338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Heart of Midlothian FC48c581$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.443339.4%13 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick28cpaid-2.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Heart of Midlothian FC23c570.87$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.572321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-46.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0302…9070backed SK Rapid Wien75c530$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SK Rapid Wien34c455.07$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7263957.1%365 W · 274 L+35.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked SK Rapid Wien34c450.39$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.033450%17 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed SK Rapid Wien75c399.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28b…60c6backed SK Rapid Wien49c361.72$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.62240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked SK Rapid Wien74c310.18$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5397846.2%452 W · 526 L-3.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed SK Rapid Wien59c298.18$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.043154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heart of Midlothian FC21c285.84$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.8579732.2%257 W · 540 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2a…39bdbacked SK Rapid Wien77c285.18$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.59366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed SK Rapid Wien20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017647.7%84 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked SK Rapid Wien18c223.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.418444.6%82 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed SK Rapid Wien77c206.25$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.292,34441.6%976 W · 1,368 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked SK Rapid Wien29c196.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8778544.8%352 W · 433 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Heart of Midlothian FC30c183.44$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.44742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Heart of Midlothian FC54c168.34$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.445541.8%23 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked SK Rapid Wien38c159.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6060%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed SK Rapid Wien16c155.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.951573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.32per pick42cpaid+89.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Heart of Midlothian FC48c149$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.441464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd4…035bbacked SK Rapid Wien61c140$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked SK Rapid Wien28c126.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.081612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Heart of Midlothian FC41c122.92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0516746.7%78 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked SK Rapid Wien19c110.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Heart of Midlothian FC27c107.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.411435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Heart of Midlothian FC44c107$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked SK Rapid Wien74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743271.9%23 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Heart of Midlothian FC25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.91637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked SK Rapid Wien29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296731.3%21 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe200…1b78backed SK Rapid Wien18c97.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Heart of Midlothian FC25c95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2527539.6%109 W · 166 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Heart of Midlothian FC23c87.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.265154.9%28 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked SK Rapid Wien70c79.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-55.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed SK Rapid Wien73c78.68$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4479554.1%430 W · 365 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed SK Rapid Wien77c77.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Heart of Midlothian FC73c71.65$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.272,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Heart of Midlothian FC62c69.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked SK Rapid Wien77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508169.1%56 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02e0…9633backed SK Rapid Wien57c63.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Heart of Midlothian FC24c58.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.613947.5%66 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed SK Rapid Wien73c52.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6538744.4%172 W · 215 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc69a…e9f7backed SK Rapid Wien38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x685e…fec3backed SK Rapid Wien38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x886d…b7e2backed SK Rapid Wien77c51.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca54…79a2backed Heart of Midlothian FC25c51.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+298.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Heart of Midlothian FC73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.55570.9%39 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0052…30bcbacked SK Rapid Wien77c47.48$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SK Rapid Wien71c47.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5237646.5%175 W · 201 L+26.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6a89backed SK Rapid Wien75c44.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.332540%10 W · 15 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd7c9…1ec6backed Heart of Midlothian FC24c43.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+84.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Heart of Midlothian FC25c41.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.26728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Heart of Midlothian FC25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+45.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Heart of Midlothian FC30c36.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.897867.9%53 W · 25 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x72d9…df51backed SK Rapid Wien76c30.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Heart of Midlothian FC79c29.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea3…2b3dbacked SK Rapid Wien78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x575a…5cd7backed SK Rapid Wien55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d5…88eabacked SK Rapid Wien79c16.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1300…d632backed SK Rapid Wien77c15.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eef…5275backed Heart of Midlothian FC65c15.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.393190.3%28 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick78cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3637…21a4backed SK Rapid Wien77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.551573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd46d…ebbdbacked SK Rapid Wien78c14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.