Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6f780bf9dfc5864443ece1f04ae8f14ea74c96c9eef247a469a1fb0ef2b1ed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 50c | 12,286$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.97 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…9f44backed Under | 45c | 7,147$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 5c | 6,153$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.95 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 6,130$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.98 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 61c | 5,036$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.76 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 4,950$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.15 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…df79backed Over | 55c | 4,489$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 3,872$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.92 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 3,815$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.15 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 3c | 3,475$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 376 | 46.5%175 W · 201 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 43c | 2,788$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 24c | 2,519$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.96 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 61c | 1,199$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.09 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 49c | 1,065$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 39c | 942.13$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.7 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 929.41$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.08 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 45c | 759.46$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.14 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 61c | 741.32$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 39c | 641$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.01 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 42c | 639.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.4 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 58c | 596.83$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.16 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…4927backed Over | 54c | 540.87$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 76c | 523.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…25c7backed Over | 59c | 509.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 67c | 491.94$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Over | 56c | 437.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 416.13$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Under | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 62c | 370.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.02 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…2ff6backed Over | 61c | 329.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 17c | 300.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 16c | 299.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Under | 76c | 249.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 6c | 241.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 240 | 49.2%118 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 218.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 59c | 210.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 51c | 199.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 193.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 32c | 186.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 56c | 174.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…9d31backed Over | 61c | 173.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 61c | 164.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 155.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 78c | 149.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 352 | 46.3%163 W · 189 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 38c | 149$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 80c | 147.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 58c | 144.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 60c | 141.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 49c | 125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +10.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 52c | 113.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 43c | 111.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 30c | 108.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 23c | 95.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Under | 80c | 93.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 51c | 91.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 83.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…0d37backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 39c | 80.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 67c | 79.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 78.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 57c | 76.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…dad3backed Over | 48c | 57.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 41c | 55.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69e…75d7backed Under | 44c | 53.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 52.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 48.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -20.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 48c | 47.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9e2bbacked Over | 60c | 40.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…2663backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 39c | 39.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b2…34b5backed Over | 58c | 39.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 56c | 39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 371 | 43.7%162 W · 209 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 70c | 38.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 57c | 37.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 51c | 37.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 56c | 34.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 59c | 34.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 60c | 34.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: SK Rapid Wien O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Team to AdvanceHeart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)SK Rapid Wien won
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-1.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.