Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc4e694ae3324e9f1550d0ea61b0e9ab762839a996155705d9e6996031481628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 56c | 4,109$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.77 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 1c | 3,609$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 93 | 20.4%19 W · 74 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 50c | 2,728$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Yes | 58c | 2,588$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 42c | 2,168$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 1,660$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.47 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 25c | 1,602$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.03 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 1,192$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.56 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 42c | 1,184$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.62 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 847.27$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 840$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.63 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 56c | 718$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.89 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 57c | 429.3$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Yes | 56c | 349.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 307.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 56c | 302.13$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.62 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 296.36$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 277.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 43c | 169.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 44c | 144.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 45c | 92.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…e15abacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 45c | 78.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 54c | 76.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…37dfbacked Yes | 44c | 67.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…68a9backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 64c | 53.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 45c | 50.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Yes | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked Yes | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 37c | 47.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 45c | 42.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 38.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed No | 72c | 15.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: SK Rapid Wien O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Team to AdvanceHeart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)SK Rapid Wien won
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-1.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.