Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2b98ed799e07ff50d2cb4287940f59161b32f95305854f712180448b952b3bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 20c | 17,437$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.35 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 22c | 15,279$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.01 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 6,641$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 93 | 20.4%19 W · 74 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 19c | 6,626$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Under | 45c | 3,859$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 3,196$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.91 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 7c | 3,144$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 20c | 2,403$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 79c | 2,189$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.85 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 28c | 2,042$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 1,417$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.25 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…495abacked Under | 2c | 1,226$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 35c | 986.51$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.09 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Under | 2c | 769$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 24c | 528.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 22c | 488.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 16c | 464.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 36c | 389.64$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 62c | 325.95$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 40c | 247.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 16c | 231.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…c4f4backed Under | 21c | 210.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…0bbbbacked Over | 79c | 199.95$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 6c | 186$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 55c | 158.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…cb68backed Over | 78c | 141.49$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 78c | 128.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Over | 79c | 120.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Under | 23c | 108.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 23c | 86.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 19c | 75.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 74.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…54ffbacked Under | 25c | 66.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 147 | 41.5%61 W · 86 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…f9e6backed Over | 75c | 54.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 57c | 50.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +148.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b2…34b5backed Over | 56c | 35.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Under | 29c | 34.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 68c | 24.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +9.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +43%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 78c | 17.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6b…c045backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Over | 80c | 13.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5this page
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: SK Rapid Wien O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Rapid Wien vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Team to AdvanceHeart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)SK Rapid Wien won
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-1.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: SK Rapid Wien (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.