Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Iatcenko vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7e7982f208833da52e52043c9af321116fc79012a8ff7225b52c0966e21a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Polina Iatcenkoof Polina Iatcenko, Andrea Lazaro Garcia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 4c | 22,055$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.94 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Polina Iatcenko | 61c | 6,379$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.95 | 3,776 | 42.6%1,608 W · 2,168 L | -44.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 38c | 6,000$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.4 | 2,369 | 52.2%1,236 W · 1,133 L | +87.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 36c | 3,244$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.84 | 1,606 | 24.4%392 W · 1,214 L | -41.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Polina Iatcenko | 70c | 1,838$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.64 | 3,238 | 57.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L | +179.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Polina Iatcenko | 66c | 1,732$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.15 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…300cbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Polina Iatcenko | 55c | 858.78$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.6 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 48c | 834.77$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 139 | 28.8%40 W · 99 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…2ee8backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 23c | 725.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 86 | 23.3%20 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 921 | 49.8%459 W · 462 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Polina Iatcenko | 62c | 501.55$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.15 | 2,882 | 47.2%1,360 W · 1,522 L | +39.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 33c | 472.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 4,407 | 52.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L | +66.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Polina Iatcenko | 76c | 438.47$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 4,523 | 51.7%2,340 W · 2,183 L | +135.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 269 | 45.4%122 W · 147 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…881ebacked Polina Iatcenko | 56c | 364$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Polina Iatcenko | 56c | 355.34$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 29c | 280$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 459 | 48.8%224 W · 235 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Polina Iatcenko | 79c | 258.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 26c | 227.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 1,856 | 46.8%868 W · 988 L | -55.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Polina Iatcenko | 49c | 212.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 5,486 | 56.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L | +232.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 24c | 194.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b35…bdd3backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 44c | 179.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Polina Iatcenko | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Polina Iatcenko | 70c | 127$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 4,803 | 49.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L | +174.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Polina Iatcenko | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 154 | 39%60 W · 94 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Polina Iatcenko | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 246 | 41.5%102 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Polina Iatcenko | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 5,600 | 48.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L | +10.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Polina Iatcenko | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 52c | 88.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 3,303 | 40.2%1,329 W · 1,974 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 42c | 86.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 2,581 | 38.7%999 W · 1,582 L | +100.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Polina Iatcenko | 76c | 85.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 2,088 | 46.7%975 W · 1,113 L | +19.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 25c | 83.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 477 | 40.3%192 W · 285 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…a92ebacked Polina Iatcenko | 58c | 80.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 37c | 79.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 1,112 | 57.9%644 W · 468 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 55c | 78.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4,647 | 67.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L | +308.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Polina Iatcenko | 78c | 74.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Polina Iatcenko | 73c | 63.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Polina Iatcenko | 79c | 62.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1,917 | 59.3%1,136 W · 781 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 529 | 35.9%190 W · 339 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Polina Iatcenko | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 6,700 | 50.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L | +267.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Polina Iatcenko | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,377 | 28.9%1,553 W · 3,824 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Polina Iatcenko | 75c | 46.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Polina Iatcenko | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 460 | 64.3%296 W · 164 L | +24.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 49c | 41.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Polina Iatcenko | 56c | 40.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 3,397 | 48.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L | -47.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Polina Iatcenko | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,109 | 48%532 W · 577 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Polina Iatcenko | 58c | 39.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Polina Iatcenko | 75c | 37.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1,104 | 49.7%549 W · 555 L | +46.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 571 | 53.9%308 W · 263 L | +21.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…fdd9backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 43c | 30.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Polina Iatcenko | 75c | 29.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 617 | 46.2%285 W · 332 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 381 | 39.6%151 W · 230 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…3f91backed Polina Iatcenko | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…3521backed Polina Iatcenko | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Polina Iatcenko | 75c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 1,863 | 41.1%765 W · 1,098 L | -32.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.