Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Stefan Palosi vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cc15bbd458b4e5ea732275fff37ea442f6b437af57fedc04137f42ea462cbc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joverof Palosi, Jover
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Palosi | 62c | 4,154$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.89 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Palosi | 46c | 3,988$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.45 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Palosi | 24c | 2,181$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.17 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Jover | 38c | 2,071$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.76 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4d66backed Jover | 56c | 1,988$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.12 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jover | 49c | 1,498$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.19 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Jover | 49c | 1,150$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.47 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Jover | 68c | 949.16$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.33 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Jover | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Jover | 49c | 675.78$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Palosi | 12c | 599.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Palosi | 73c | 523.17$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.93 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Jover | 60c | 475.65$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.09 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Jover | 36c | 416.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.51 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Palosi | 77c | 389.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jover | 56c | 389.26$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.99 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jover | 63c | 353.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Jover | 62c | 319.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Palosi | 56c | 304.36$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Jover | 63c | 299.88$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Palosi | 41c | 269.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Jover | 21c | 261.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.9 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Jover | 77c | 259.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Jover | 79c | 253.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Palosi | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Jover | 23c | 235.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Jover | 60c | 195.48$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Jover | 61c | 139$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jover | 59c | 133.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed Jover | 39c | 133.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Jover | 52c | 114.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Palosi | 38c | 108$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Palosi | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Palosi | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Jover | 31c | 96.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Jover | 35c | 92.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Palosi | 41c | 88.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Palosi | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Jover | 58c | 74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jover | 52c | 63.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1605…124fbacked Jover | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Palosi | 64c | 56.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Palosi | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Palosi | 74c | 51.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Palosi | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Jover | 60c | 49.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Jover | 71c | 49.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Palosi | 51c | 48.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Palosi | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…bd29backed Jover | 58c | 44.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Jover | 35c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Palosi | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Jover | 64c | 26.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…b344backed Jover | 58c | 25.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Jover | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Jover | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.