Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d05fef99c9a2b9f71da17d41d9729cd8e34dbb56b3a863978d6825935666658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 46c | 580.98$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.79 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 52c | 371$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 63c | 307$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 37c | 288.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 238$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 51c | 202.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 55c | 199.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 42c | 170.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14db…7cafbacked Yes | 65c | 154.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 52c | 144$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 46c | 143.79$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 54c | 122.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 116.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 50c | 98.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 15c | 97.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 47c | 96.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 18c | 95.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 52c | 93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 15c | 92.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 49c | 83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…bd79backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 65c | 79.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 37c | 75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…b673backed No | 54c | 70.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 63c | 68.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 37c | 66.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 51c | 64.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 57c | 62.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 61.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 54c | 55.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed No | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 48c | 49.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 54c | 46.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed No | 53c | 45.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 61c | 45.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 44c | 44.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 45c | 44.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…261ebacked No | 51c | 44.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 60c | 40.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 51c | 40.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…3d3abacked No | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…0469backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed No | 46c | 37.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 48c | 37.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 41c | 34.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 60c | 34.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 52c | 33.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3c16backed Yes | 38c | 32.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…0a43backed No | 48c | 31.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 52c | 30.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 317 | 66.9%212 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 58c | 28.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…53a5backed Yes | 55c | 27.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 53c | 26.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 60c | 25.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 40c | 25.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed No | 53c | 24.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -34.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 54c | 24.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 53c | 23.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 72c | 23.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 47c | 22.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 54c | 22.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0a…708cbacked No | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…6e79backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6e…b0e9backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 53c | 19.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…2dd7backed Yes | 67c | 19.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 68c | 16.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.