Tennis · resolved market
Cancun: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Rio Noguchi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d697f9a92be5939ef2ba05fd08464e3856a160e380fe861a2199aa3e8d1f0c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rio Noguchiof Luis Carlos Alvarez, Rio Noguchi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Rio Noguchi | 61c | 10,000$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.17 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Rio Noguchi | 54c | 7,061$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.38 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 38c | 5,312$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.61 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 46c | 4,082$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 1c | 2,358$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Rio Noguchi | 71c | 1,773$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.68 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…b37bbacked Rio Noguchi | 69c | 1,034$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rio Noguchi | 66c | 969.73$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.02 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 39c | 814.88$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.36 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 39c | 768.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rio Noguchi | 75c | 669.23$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 33c | 665$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Rio Noguchi | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 41c | 650$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 37c | 519.3$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 46c | 503.3$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.24 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 29c | 399.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rio Noguchi | 64c | 363.53$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.73 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 32c | 351.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Rio Noguchi | 63c | 349.36$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Rio Noguchi | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Rio Noguchi | 68c | 292.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Rio Noguchi | 72c | 279.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 26c | 249.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Rio Noguchi | 70c | 226.83$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 52c | 210.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Rio Noguchi | 54c | 205.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rio Noguchi | 66c | 201.75$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Rio Noguchi | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Rio Noguchi | 62c | 195.34$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rio Noguchi | 45c | 182.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 29c | 166.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Rio Noguchi | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Rio Noguchi | 38c | 142.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 35c | 114.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Rio Noguchi | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 31c | 104.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Rio Noguchi | 67c | 102.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 29c | 99.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Rio Noguchi | 45c | 76.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 27c | 74.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 34c | 73.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Rio Noguchi | 65c | 71.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 48c | 69.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 28c | 67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rio Noguchi | 68c | 57.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 34c | 52.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Rio Noguchi | 67c | 50.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 33c | 50.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 38c | 47.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 31c | 46.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 61c | 46.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 232 | 56.5%131 W · 101 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 36c | 46.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…5d85backed Rio Noguchi | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Rio Noguchi | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 34c | 37.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…f2e5backed Rio Noguchi | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Rio Noguchi | 57c | 37.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Rio Noguchi | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Rio Noguchi | 65c | 35.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 46c | 34.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 43c | 31.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Rio Noguchi | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Luis Carlos Alvarez | 48c | 29.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Luis Carlos Alvarez | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Rio Noguchi | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Rio Noguchi | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Rio Noguchi | 80c | 21.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Rio Noguchi | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Rio Noguchi | 77c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Rio Noguchi | 57c | 18.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Rio Noguchi | 76c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…25a8backed Rio Noguchi | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.