TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cherbourg: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Antoine Ghibaudoof Antoine Ghibaudo, Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,809 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5422…76a4backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly29c5,892$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7002623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly50c4,110$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.9922553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly29c2,968$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.172,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Antoine Ghibaudo68c2,646$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.938,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Antoine Ghibaudo54c2,461$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.022,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Antoine Ghibaudo72c1,972$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.66,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly39c1,781$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.713,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly54c1,173$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6331,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly11c1,059$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.041,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Antoine Ghibaudo45c915.31$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.5224350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Antoine Ghibaudo52c868.11$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.1126158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Antoine Ghibaudo59c796.47$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0317348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly10c547$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly36c539.42$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5417933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly51c458.77$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8631643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly55c426.15$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3847252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Antoine Ghibaudo48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0754…5c8bbacked Antoine Ghibaudo58c390$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.11060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Antoine Ghibaudo53c376.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.332,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Antoine Ghibaudo53c374.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.151,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Antoine Ghibaudo46c362.54$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.772,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly51c317$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.671,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Antoine Ghibaudo63c316.2$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9915951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Antoine Ghibaudo51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14728747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly16c280.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.027,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Antoine Ghibaudo60c251.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3369350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Antoine Ghibaudo50c249$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.56,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Antoine Ghibaudo47c245.3$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0127539.6%109 W · 166 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Antoine Ghibaudo64c239.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.264065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Antoine Ghibaudo53c235.67$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.275149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Antoine Ghibaudo49c227$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.237342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly43c218.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9838147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly53c210.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.81757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly49c210$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.851,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068a…6fe7backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506852.9%36 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Antoine Ghibaudo50c183.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3455646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly49c183.22$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9041955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…94bfbacked Antoine Ghibaudo55c180.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Antoine Ghibaudo49c178.57$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.371,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3d…de22backed Antoine Ghibaudo52c178.23$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly38c168.42$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644139%16 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly12c166$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly47c160$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.21,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e25…db26backed Antoine Ghibaudo51c157.02$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9482560.5%499 W · 326 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Antoine Ghibaudo57c154.18$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.942,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly51c143.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7426853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5d0…39f3backed Antoine Ghibaudo73c137.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.127057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly45c132.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.836333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Antoine Ghibaudo52c109.29$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4696035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c106.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.431,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Antoine Ghibaudo48c103.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.834,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Antoine Ghibaudo49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0466452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Antoine Ghibaudo50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5054348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5490340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly32c94.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.474,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Antoine Ghibaudo61c90.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1627566.5%183 W · 92 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly40c88.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.461953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Antoine Ghibaudo54c81.8$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.489,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x319e…de42backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016552.1%86 W · 79 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4597…1bd7backed Antoine Ghibaudo64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1310967.9%74 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe519…4cbebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394072.5%29 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Antoine Ghibaudo69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.469040%36 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly53c61.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5331853.5%170 W · 148 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Antoine Ghibaudo70c55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.527664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly49c53.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.681,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly38c52.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.683,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly21c49.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4327546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly51c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5854434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly48c43.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8132837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Antoine Ghibaudo48c41.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4381933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly49c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0929244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly42c37.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.792,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly33c36.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7843058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly51c34.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6410340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.591,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly49c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.267,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly50c31.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614161.7%87 W · 54 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Antoine Ghibaudo62c30.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.594,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Antoine Ghibaudo53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.112153.7%65 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Antoine Ghibaudo53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6334851.1%178 W · 170 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5618233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly50c27.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8830853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Antoine Ghibaudo63c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9873745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Gilles Arnaud Bailly38c26.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032450.9%165 W · 159 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Antoine Ghibaudo51c24.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2231434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Antoine Ghibaudo49c24.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.441,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Antoine Ghibaudo49c23.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1415353.6%82 W · 71 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly54c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1249749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Antoine Ghibaudo64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.275748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0832…4b66backed Antoine Ghibaudo50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Antoine Ghibaudo65c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.