Asian League · resolved market
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ee902aa7b3851d3be0eba9a47f42400f82b1535f0a1daf5f12d74ff6363e2cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 44c | 3,036$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.46 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 1,272$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.67 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 65c | 586.47$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 18c | 396.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 23c | 262.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 228.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 44c | 227.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 179.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 29c | 170$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 68c | 169.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 145.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 22c | 142.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed No | 75c | 133.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 56c | 116$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 114.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…c83ebacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 33c | 110.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 43c | 108.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 52c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 26c | 78.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 26c | 78.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 67.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 56c | 64.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked No | 76c | 49.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked No | 60c | 49.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…0fedbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 56c | 43.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 33c | 33.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Yes | 43c | 33.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 17.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
- Will Ulsan HD FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.