TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bengaluru 3: Keegan Smith vs Manish Sureshkumar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Manish Sureshkumarof Keegan Smith, Manish Sureshkumar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,198
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,198 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Keegan Smith40c5,515$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.459,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Keegan Smith48c4,165$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008030%24 W · 56 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Keegan Smith43c4,079$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.021,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Manish Sureshkumar49c3,619$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.116,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Manish Sureshkumar51c2,882$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.764,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Manish Sureshkumar54c2,834$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.774,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Keegan Smith54c1,854$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.028,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Keegan Smith76c1,512$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.8933163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4538…7d5cbacked Manish Sureshkumar38c1,440$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.6317738.4%68 W · 109 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Keegan Smith7c1,339$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016844.6%75 W · 93 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Manish Sureshkumar48c1,001$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.697,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Manish Sureshkumar51c901.73$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.8525245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Keegan Smith51c832.16$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.014,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Manish Sureshkumar37c697.2$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.854,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb442…833ebacked Manish Sureshkumar39c614.23$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.2310352.4%54 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Manish Sureshkumar45c546.45$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.199,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Keegan Smith55c535.63$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.88,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Manish Sureshkumar47c484.56$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5644032.7%144 W · 296 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Keegan Smith31c468.85$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1814835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Manish Sureshkumar48c457.72$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.011,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7067…38dbbacked Manish Sureshkumar13c384.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.628347%39 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b06…a18bbacked Keegan Smith73c383.56$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801560%9 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Keegan Smith56c358.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.435,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Manish Sureshkumar17c358.24$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.4311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked Manish Sureshkumar59c334.75$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.325248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa08…d98abacked Keegan Smith64c311.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025661.3%157 W · 99 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Manish Sureshkumar49c287.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1127051.5%139 W · 131 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Keegan Smith36c274.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Keegan Smith32c234.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.751,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Keegan Smith31c222.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.46,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Manish Sureshkumar16c215.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8257447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Manish Sureshkumar33c195.22$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.980341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Manish Sureshkumar31c187.16$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.996,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Keegan Smith27c185.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.094,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Keegan Smith61c179.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.233647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Keegan Smith29c169.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8651339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Manish Sureshkumar50c169.49$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.712,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Manish Sureshkumar29c162.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1468338.2%261 W · 422 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Manish Sureshkumar16c155.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8348214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Manish Sureshkumar52c152.49$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.96,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Keegan Smith59c150.54$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8898841.3%408 W · 580 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Keegan Smith76c145.07$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11085568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Manish Sureshkumar13c143.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.021,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Manish Sureshkumar14c143$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.982,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Keegan Smith28c140.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6285624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Manish Sureshkumar16c131.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.633442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Manish Sureshkumar47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.661,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Keegan Smith42c123.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8934847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Manish Sureshkumar49c120.42$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.421,45645.1%656 W · 800 L+42.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked Manish Sureshkumar52c111$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6112249.2%60 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Keegan Smith25c110.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7738246.1%176 W · 206 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Keegan Smith49c105.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.131,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Keegan Smith45c103.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5512836.7%47 W · 81 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Manish Sureshkumar14c103.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0136244.8%162 W · 200 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…3f90backed Manish Sureshkumar40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015570.3%109 W · 46 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb186…a946backed Keegan Smith54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+59.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Manish Sureshkumar16c99.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.991,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Keegan Smith47c95.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.11,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x898a…499abacked Manish Sureshkumar28c89.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.483336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Manish Sureshkumar46c88.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.940663.8%259 W · 147 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Keegan Smith49c81.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Manish Sureshkumar51c75.49$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.913145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5b…b03ebacked Manish Sureshkumar26c69.14$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.881136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Keegan Smith52c65.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3432333.4%108 W · 215 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Keegan Smith50c64.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.742,06946.7%966 W · 1,103 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Manish Sureshkumar51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.713,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Keegan Smith66c63.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4252155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Manish Sureshkumar51c62.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.753,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf677…0e56backed Keegan Smith50c59.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028550.2%143 W · 142 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Manish Sureshkumar49c59.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181,14447.2%540 W · 604 L+64.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Manish Sureshkumar50c58.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.535187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Keegan Smith44c53.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.615,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Manish Sureshkumar45c53.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3283047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8048…a602backed Manish Sureshkumar43c53.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3819568.2%133 W · 62 L+19.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Manish Sureshkumar51c52.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8323653.4%126 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Manish Sureshkumar51c52.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.838757.5%50 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Manish Sureshkumar51c52.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8316358.9%96 W · 67 L+12.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Keegan Smith30c51.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4119051.1%97 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfca4…e183backed Keegan Smith33c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.313040%52 W · 78 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Manish Sureshkumar71c47.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.791,08573.7%800 W · 285 L+40.8wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d7…f640backed Keegan Smith32c43.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f1…6a07backed Keegan Smith57c42.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.383357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Manish Sureshkumar44c37.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.982,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3537…3419backed Manish Sureshkumar49c35.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.083151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Manish Sureshkumar52c34.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.441,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Manish Sureshkumar55c33.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2946544.3%206 W · 259 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Keegan Smith47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1559050.5%298 W · 292 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Manish Sureshkumar50c28.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.261,12056.5%633 W · 487 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Manish Sureshkumar49c26.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5342951.3%220 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa788…e033backed Manish Sureshkumar44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33e…b4b6backed Manish Sureshkumar48c23.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0618545.4%84 W · 101 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b59…2044backed Keegan Smith74c20.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157668.4%52 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Keegan Smith73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.678350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Manish Sureshkumar55c19.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.722,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.