Asian League · resolved market
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6058d63a94e688cbf0ef6b5ecb11e623a7c94200839938798ac9335d297e5947
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 774.05$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 427 | 50.4%215 W · 212 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 78c | 717.32$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 716.26$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 214 | 20.1%43 W · 171 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Yes | 22c | 462.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 299.03$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 73c | 289$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…6100backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…39bdbacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 214.12$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 203.42$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc88…4fc1backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 157.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 18c | 156.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 114.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 111.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 311 | 24.8%77 W · 234 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecdc…6eedbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 107.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 22c | 105.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 78c | 71.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed No | 76c | 65.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…f43dbacked Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed No | 78c | 27.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 78c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 76c | 19.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 293 | 64.5%189 W · 104 L | +29.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 78c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 77c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 77c | 14.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 333 | 60.7%202 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 287 | 46.3%133 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-08-23?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.