Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a72e8f34588080377c8aff6ecef3b4ea529cdff32a0b2827e0f7062fbeff9ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 50c | 10,564$5,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,265.62 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 63c | 6,683$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.01 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked No | 47c | 6,479$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 52c | 3,829$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.39 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 50c | 3,511$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.36 | 870 | 43%374 W · 496 L | +24.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 50c | 3,388$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.25 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 50c | 3,345$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 3,252$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.91 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Yes | 51c | 1,925$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 32c | 1,895$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.94 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,823$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 30c | 1,700$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 214 | 20.1%43 W · 171 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 23c | 1,628$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.08 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 67c | 1,533$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.91 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.96 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes | 55c | 1,425$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.05 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 1,379$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.07 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…4ac2backed Yes | 50c | 1,307$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 48c | 1,298$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.92 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 49c | 1,278$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.9 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,252$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Yes | 44c | 939.35$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.73 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 752.46$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.49 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 720.86$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.52 | 1,347 | 56.5%761 W · 586 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 700.93$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.9 | 1,807 | 50.2%908 W · 899 L | +32.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 50c | 687.92$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.96 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Yes | 65c | 610.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 54c | 556.82$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.87 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…32b5backed Yes | 73c | 549.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 248 | 54%134 W · 114 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 534.54$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.2 | 1,155 | 49.3%569 W · 586 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 48c | 485.77$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.17 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 62c | 484.71$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.87 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…30bcbacked Yes | 58c | 465.17$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +5.0wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 50c | 445.75$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.45 | 413 | 49.2%203 W · 210 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 55c | 410$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 73c | 350.46$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 74c | 315.66$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.07 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 67c | 268.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 240.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 1,656 | 50.8%841 W · 815 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 50c | 236$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 45c | 224.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 216.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 53c | 208.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 54c | 204.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 28c | 202.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes | 58c | 200.48$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked No | 50c | 191.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 69c | 183.85$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 858 | 47.8%410 W · 448 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 47c | 175.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 47c | 169.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 1,134 | 41.4%470 W · 664 L | -17.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 52c | 153.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 59c | 153.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 50c | 144.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 427 | 50.4%215 W · 212 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes | 51c | 137.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 54c | 124.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 64c | 105.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 66c | 105$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…1e03backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ec…3cd6backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 61c | 98.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 264 | 53.4%141 W · 123 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 60c | 94.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…7413backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 45c | 91.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 64c | 89.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 26c | 88.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 47c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc88…4fc1backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 53c | 80.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 254 | 55.5%141 W · 113 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739b…417ebacked Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 77.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 540 | 48.7%263 W · 277 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 62c | 74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 841 | 53.6%451 W · 390 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 53c | 70.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 375 | 53.6%201 W · 174 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 53c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 202 | 60.4%122 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed No | 51c | 63.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3efc…a721backed Yes | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed No | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed No | 38c | 57.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x918a…03c8backed Yes | 48c | 57.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 48c | 57.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 392 | 47.7%187 W · 205 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 65c | 53.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 60c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 51c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-08-23?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?No won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.