Tennis · resolved market
Centurion 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Khololwam Montsi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x620ad333ceccd611adb3da8a5bb505934c756b479d8a719018b0588e65ecbe44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khololwam Montsiof Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, Khololwam Montsi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 20c | 6,488$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.04 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Khololwam Montsi | 60c | 4,471$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.57 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Khololwam Montsi | 58c | 2,421$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.02 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 3c | 1,688$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 1,380$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.7 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Khololwam Montsi | 59c | 1,276$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.29 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 28c | 1,199$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.44 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 38c | 911.71$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Khololwam Montsi | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.86 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 14c | 696.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Khololwam Montsi | 78c | 621.81$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 465.12$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Khololwam Montsi | 59c | 370.54$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Khololwam Montsi | 58c | 265$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Khololwam Montsi | 79c | 258.84$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…4778backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 12c | 194.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Khololwam Montsi | 59c | 182.69$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Khololwam Montsi | 59c | 179.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e0cbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 13c | 136$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Khololwam Montsi | 57c | 134.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 126.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Khololwam Montsi | 60c | 124.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 16c | 115$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 112.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Khololwam Montsi | 74c | 109.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Khololwam Montsi | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…245abacked Khololwam Montsi | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 24c | 95.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Khololwam Montsi | 70c | 89.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…ee7ebacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 23c | 86.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 43c | 80.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Khololwam Montsi | 78c | 70.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 19c | 64.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Khololwam Montsi | 59c | 55.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…4b2fbacked Khololwam Montsi | 60c | 54.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 41c | 54.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 48.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Khololwam Montsi | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Khololwam Montsi | 66c | 45.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 41.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Khololwam Montsi | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Khololwam Montsi | 56c | 38.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Khololwam Montsi | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Khololwam Montsi | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Khololwam Montsi | 58c | 33.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 41c | 32.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Khololwam Montsi | 70c | 31.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 27.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 23.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Khololwam Montsi | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Khololwam Montsi | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Khololwam Montsi | 77c | 13.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Khololwam Montsi | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.