TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: WW Team vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ex-RUBYof WW Team, ex-RUBY
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4713…4d21backed WW Team41c5,375$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.055,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked ex-RUBY63c4,838$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,783.973,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked ex-RUBY50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00043951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed WW Team34c1,641$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.212,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed WW Team36c618.55$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.822,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked WW Team41c601.66$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.923,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY55c578.73$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.047,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY63c482.46$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.64,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY63c463.02$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.086,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed WW Team44c444.24$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4511243.8%49 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked ex-RUBY53c357.98$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.392,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked ex-RUBY63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11120238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked WW Team5c276$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.882,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed WW Team45c247$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7340141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed WW Team36c243.04$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1378043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY61c186.35$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.014,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked WW Team36c174$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.12,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY63c163.77$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.134,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUBY69c161$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.451,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ex-RUBY61c147$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.62,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked ex-RUBY58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.057149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked WW Team45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.483,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed ex-RUBY58c112.55$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5542757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed WW Team41c92.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8324544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY57c68.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.492,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed WW Team44c62.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2491743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked ex-RUBY78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed WW Team22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.242427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca3…be8ebacked ex-RUBY66c51.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.642152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked WW Team28c46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.683,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed WW Team44c45.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9911133.3%37 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked WW Team43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.93,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed ex-RUBY67c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.