Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x639c8241621cb008c061410ae527b8d215eaeb9a79f0bb6771ce2d8f8456e17b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Deep Cross Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe077…369bbacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 8,635$6,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.11 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Deep Cross Gaming | 20c | 6,127$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.46 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 4,200$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.99 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Deep Cross Gaming | 24c | 3,946$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.15 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 23c | 2,556$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Deep Cross Gaming | 23c | 2,359$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 233 | 32.6%76 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Deep Cross Gaming | 16c | 2,251$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 2,153$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.95 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…011ebacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 1,350$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.01 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Deep Cross Gaming | 23c | 1,183$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Deep Cross Gaming | 19c | 1,057$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.05 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7165…7239backed Deep Cross Gaming | 24c | 1,005$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 934.78$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 23c | 873.35$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.67 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 16c | 738.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 700$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 634$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 21c | 602$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 345 | 68.7%237 W · 108 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 23c | 525$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 218 | 28.4%62 W · 156 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…d66abacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 518.74$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 17c | 500.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Deep Cross Gaming | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 448.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Deep Cross Gaming | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…4ff2backed Deep Cross Gaming | 23c | 413.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 402.41$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 323$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 307.71$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 305.65$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Deep Cross Gaming | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 299.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 263$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…eda2backed Deep Cross Gaming | 12c | 234.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Deep Cross Gaming | 24c | 213.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Deep Cross Gaming | 22c | 202.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Deep Cross Gaming | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 23c | 194.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Deep Cross Gaming | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Deep Cross Gaming | 21c | 168.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 124.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93be…af87backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 121.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 21c | 121$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 105.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 173 | 66.5%115 W · 58 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Deep Cross Gaming | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Deep Cross Gaming | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Deep Cross Gaming | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Deep Cross Gaming | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 194 | 70.6%137 W · 57 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Deep Cross Gaming | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 75.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Deep Cross Gaming | 20c | 75.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 326 | 53.4%174 W · 152 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 63.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b50ebacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 37.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f8…6d8fbacked Deep Cross Gaming | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…8e96backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…6630backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -13.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 13.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Deep Cross Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 3?Deep Cross Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.