TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Under49c18,104$8,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,259.118146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over51c14,692$7,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,492.951,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c6,810$3,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,473.2390348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under49c5,401$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,748.141,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95f1…9087backed Over34c3,627$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-78.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under63c3,360$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.6410547.6%50 W · 55 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over47c3,246$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.332,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over52c2,101$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.4421844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8214761.9%91 W · 56 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.991,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over51c1,920$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.3696048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over29c1,746$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.132442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over35c1,533$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.371,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Under49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.236956.5%39 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Over58c1,039$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.8930554.8%167 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over52c1,014$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.2424643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Over51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Under48c583.9$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.956432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Under47c520.62$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.933237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under48c505.1$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6511943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over16c503$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7219553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over43c500.19$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.382,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26041347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605234.6%18 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c471.05$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1791,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under62c467.63$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.151,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Over17c444$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4840726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb68…9aa2backed Under49c393.55$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.711872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048951.5%252 W · 237 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83bf…8aa4backed Over38c363.16$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under48c362.93$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9320551.7%106 W · 99 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Over54c344.72$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18719232.8%63 W · 129 L-17.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under49c341$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2622142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Over54c330.43$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4311538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb460…6e64backed Over46c323.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509755.7%54 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15915143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaecd…4436backed Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-64.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Under51c292.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9219052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under72c291.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.988045%36 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under66c291.39$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.922,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Under48c291$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.323438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Over38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23d8…ad2abacked Under49c240.02$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under61c228.02$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0482836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under45c209.87$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.341343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…03cbbacked Over53c203.96$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10817745.2%80 W · 97 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over38c186.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5637342.9%160 W · 213 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Under49c171.59$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.678547.1%40 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c150.02$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5124642.3%104 W · 142 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Under54c146$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.168542.4%36 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under59c146$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2846452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over45c135$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8870443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8711863.6%75 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over38c125.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3934742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked Over42c119.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028942.9%124 W · 165 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over26c117.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1315823.4%37 W · 121 L-21.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c115.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.432,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Over38c107.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Under51c104$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.521,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb25e…1071backed Under49c101.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.975848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over45c100.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4549346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5360243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5228652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5318448.4%89 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Under62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3827745.8%127 W · 150 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9131439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under50c95.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6524544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0643…0a8cbacked Under49c93.55$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.711450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under54c91.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.231,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under48c91.04$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.344734%16 W · 31 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7584…d6e6backed Under47c91$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under71c90.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.359460.6%57 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under57c88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8419265.1%125 W · 67 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over32c85.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.081,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under48c79.17$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1725542%107 W · 148 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x565c…585abacked Under49c79.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.36857.4%39 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Under62c78.65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.896251.6%32 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed Under66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.765448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Over36c63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.683839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Under48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.527952%145 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over52c62.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.522748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under62c62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.863,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.540641.9%170 W · 236 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c57.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.692,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43c6…6dc9backed Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308148.1%39 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Over46c55.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.391,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d4…2101backed Under80c54.36$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.871573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c20…bd85backed Under63c51.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2511439.5%45 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4516549.7%82 W · 83 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3024832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Over53c49.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d80…a4aabacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over25c46.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.421233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9968…e3a8backed Over55c44.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Over41c43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6358155.6%323 W · 258 L+17.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b5…3186backed Over38c42.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.111330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under59c40.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3918648.9%91 W · 95 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under60c40.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.081,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.