Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Warwickshire vs Surrey
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ba84ffca8f6818282688f43f66ef5a8bef39808b747982c8de367adaf3ba29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warwickshireof Warwickshire, Surrey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Surrey | 23c | 6,957$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.37 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…fac3backed Warwickshire | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Warwickshire | 80c | 4,780$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.35 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Warwickshire | 57c | 4,397$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.16 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Surrey | 12c | 3,066$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.26 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Surrey | 35c | 1,791$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.85 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 39cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Warwickshire | 60c | 1,706$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.05 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Surrey | 43c | 1,503$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Surrey | 42c | 1,476$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Surrey | 1c | 1,466$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Surrey | 48c | 1,070$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.6 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Warwickshire | 56c | 1,013$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.57 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Warwickshire | 65c | 927.44$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.44 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…195cbacked Surrey | 42c | 897.22$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Surrey | 40c | 886.23$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.75 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Surrey | 14c | 491.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Surrey | 46c | 486.71$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.18 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Surrey | 46c | 485$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Surrey | 23c | 473$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Surrey | 17c | 399.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Surrey | 43c | 358.58$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.19 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Warwickshire | 58c | 346.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Surrey | 24c | 251.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Surrey | 13c | 240.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Surrey | 7c | 227.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Surrey | 24c | 209.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Warwickshire | 71c | 203.46$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Surrey | 45c | 186.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Surrey | 39c | 186$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Surrey | 42c | 185.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Surrey | 8c | 180.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…2cd4backed Surrey | 15c | 179.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…99d0backed Surrey | 18c | 145.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Warwickshire | 79c | 144.7$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…d689backed Warwickshire | 78c | 128.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Surrey | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Surrey | 24c | 127$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Surrey | 21c | 118.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Surrey | 44c | 115.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…a5f9backed Surrey | 35c | 112.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Surrey | 13c | 106.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…1d4abacked Surrey | 38c | 104.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Surrey | 16c | 102.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Surrey | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Surrey | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Surrey | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Surrey | 45c | 99.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Surrey | 29c | 96.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Surrey | 54c | 96.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Surrey | 24c | 94.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Surrey | 26c | 78.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Warwickshire | 79c | 76.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Surrey | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Surrey | 45c | 59.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Warwickshire | 44c | 46.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Surrey | 43c | 46.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Warwickshire | 57c | 40.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Surrey | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Surrey | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Surrey | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Warwickshire | 80c | 37.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Warwickshire | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe74…3916backed Warwickshire | 54c | 32.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…61dabacked Surrey | 39c | 28.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Warwickshire | 58c | 28.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Surrey | 46c | 21.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.