MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6561d06bdc1c3dc9b786810d9cd5f43b3edfbafde0c18787e5e8444ab82d9be2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 27,250$13,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,301.53 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 10,274$5,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.09 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 9,847$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,876.85 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 4,460$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.4 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 3,979$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.09 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 3,860$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.8 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,730$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.55 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 2,258$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.85 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 2,107$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.5 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 2,096$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.78 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,253$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.68 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 1,030$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.71 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 725$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 589.45$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 589.12$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.54 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 351.23$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.64 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 319.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 274.83$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.92 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 195.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 116.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…7c31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +81%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0d…e976backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 74.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…3ef7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655f…80a1backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 58.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 55.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 41.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 41.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…154abacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 36.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 29.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 28.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.