Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67408017e14ffcaeea20c74b9b047c44eb04d6ad17f3d411be161dd13ea0fac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 6,545$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.94 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 3,001$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.2 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 1,737$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.45 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 70c | 1,702$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.71 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…38e2backed No | 78c | 1,485$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 27c | 1,016$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.09 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 22c | 1,014$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.92 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 982.45$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.98 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 70c | 956.25$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 31c | 871.23$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.77 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 632.61$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.13 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 24c | 518.72$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.32 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 496.38$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.74 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 13c | 374$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x876c…9294backed Yes | 50c | 373.53$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 71c | 372.83$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 55c | 365$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.44 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 71c | 291.16$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 290.38$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.64 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 23c | 218.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 206.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 147.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 44c | 134.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 38c | 119.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 25c | 112.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 17c | 87.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed No | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 22c | 63.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 67c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 54.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 62c | 51.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 27c | 48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…3c7abacked No | 39c | 45.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 59c | 38.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Yes | 69c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 25.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 75c | 21.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed No | 68c | 19.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 78c | 15.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed No | 75c | 14.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked No | 77c | 13.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.