Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67e62a848cf0ed7b3ed9b5f42c6c7a87bfca3f2a047b0e69dd47ee9f91abc3cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 40c | 1,779$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.76 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 39c | 390.95$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 66c | 379.78$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.49 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 342.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 38c | 341.2$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.36 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 58c | 335.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.16 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8c…f5e2backed No | 65c | 295.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 46c | 251.56$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 42c | 217.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 55c | 199.96$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 41c | 175.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 62c | 173.63$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2c…d68fbacked No | 62c | 155.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 25c | 149.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 60c | 148.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 63c | 121.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 45c | 114.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 113.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 108.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 38c | 107.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 38c | 102.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 99.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed Yes | 36c | 95.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 41c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 46c | 94.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 21c | 91.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed No | 55c | 88.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…9c23backed Yes | 32c | 85.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 37c | 84.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 33c | 83.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 45c | 81.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 79.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 47c | 79.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 33c | 78.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 68c | 75.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 60c | 74.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…6b9cbacked Yes | 46c | 73.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 43c | 69.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 58c | 68.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed Yes | 38c | 65.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 58c | 65.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…1096backed Yes | 36c | 63.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Yes | 36c | 53.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 64c | 51.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 59c | 50.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…8039backed Yes | 46c | 50.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 69c | 50.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…bc1cbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Yes | 48c | 49.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -19.1wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 63c | 49.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 61c | 48.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 40c | 48.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 62c | 48.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 58c | 47.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…57bfbacked Yes | 50c | 47.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 43c | 47.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 27c | 46.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 45.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 40c | 45.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 43c | 44.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…7522backed Yes | 42c | 43.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 41c | 39.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92b…a1c4backed Yes | 43c | 39.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 45c | 37.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 51c | 34.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 63c | 34.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked Yes | 40c | 34.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…eabbbacked No | 60c | 33.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 239 | 23.4%56 W · 183 L | -17.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 64c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 61c | 29.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e08…59d2backed Yes | 46c | 28.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 63c | 27.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 61c | 27.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 63c | 25.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed No | 57c | 25.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 41c | 24.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5c…e8f2backed No | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 66c | 21.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 68c | 21.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f2…c2a5backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…758ebacked No | 61c | 19.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 61c | 18.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 61c | 18.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…2227backed No | 65c | 17.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…3d8bbacked No | 62c | 17.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…6e24backed No | 59c | 17.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -10.9wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 29-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 65c | 17.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 72c | 15.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.