Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6827006a3ce1dddeaaba8f6eb9f79c9461873eb98c2c8432041807415dee4b69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x107c…ab15backed Yes | 0c | 17,398$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 79c | 615.11$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.68 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…cac7backed Yes | 17c | 581.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 17c | 561.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…0932backed Yes | 27c | 445.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…2657backed Yes | 7c | 423.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 183 | 28.4%52 W · 131 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 26c | 397.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 17c | 390.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…b6a8backed Yes | 22c | 343.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 330.23$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee8…15bebacked Yes | 21c | 309.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 17c | 306.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed Yes | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 14c | 299.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed No | 80c | 281.71$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 22c | 267.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 20c | 259.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 75c | 215.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…24cdbacked No | 78c | 180.39$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 75c | 158.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 18c | 157.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 72c | 143.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 75c | 139.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 131.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 26c | 125.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed Yes | 20c | 125.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 77c | 122.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 21c | 119.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…fd41backed Yes | 21c | 118.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 24c | 115.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 20c | 112.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 77c | 111.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 12c | 110.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Yes | 30c | 103.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 241 | 41.1%99 W · 142 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…092abacked Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 361 | 23%83 W · 278 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 22c | 95.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 78c | 90.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…93e0backed Yes | 17c | 86.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 20c | 82.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2087…35e5backed Yes | 18c | 76.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 75.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…807abacked No | 69c | 70.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 28c | 70.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 79c | 69.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 77c | 62.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 20c | 60.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 76c | 55.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 21c | 55.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 72c | 50.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…001ebacked Yes | 21c | 49.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 75c | 47.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 78c | 46.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…e4babacked Yes | 28c | 44.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 77c | 43.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 24c | 42.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 79c | 40.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…e382backed No | 77c | 38.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 78c | 38.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…022fbacked Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 155 | 20.6%32 W · 123 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 74c | 32.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 78c | 28.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 77c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf444…8d4abacked No | 74c | 26.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 75c | 26.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 79c | 22.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 79c | 18.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.