Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689d820402547187c6d47ff9ba3a6c272468afda21de841a9c5249cd52d8b4c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,318 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d87…f13cbacked Yes | 48c | 634.21$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 34c | 299$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 43c | 296.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked Yes | 17c | 275.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…c2dfbacked Yes | 56c | 250.4$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 44c | 250.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…b868backed Yes | 49c | 244.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 291 | 37.8%110 W · 181 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b5…0f8cbacked No | 55c | 241.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 60c | 221$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.41 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6756…99abbacked Yes | 47c | 214.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 43c | 210.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 16c | 191.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 13c | 179.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…e2d7backed Yes | 18c | 169.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…5613backed Yes | 44c | 168.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 63c | 162.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked Yes | 18c | 156.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 51c | 149.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked No | 72c | 141.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 140.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed No | 58c | 132.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 51c | 122.51$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1348…7037backed No | 63c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 176 | 65.9%116 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ee…4be5backed No | 53c | 118.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 117.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 52c | 111.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…f36dbacked Yes | 39c | 109.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 105.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 47c | 101$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…c2e1backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…9ec0backed Yes | 40c | 94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 52c | 93.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…0977backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 49c | 85.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…488cbacked Yes | 25c | 84.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +222.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…e304backed No | 55c | 83.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 17c | 79.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 43c | 77.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 69c | 72.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 48c | 72.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 48c | 65.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 49c | 65.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed No | 58c | 64.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…36f4backed No | 48c | 60.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 56c | 60.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…2d3dbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed No | 69c | 58.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 22c | 57.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 43c | 53.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 56c | 52.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 39c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…2bd2backed Yes | 48c | 50.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…dbe8backed Yes | 50c | 49.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060c…9352backed Yes | 30c | 49.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 39c | 48.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 54c | 45.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…d691backed Yes | 45c | 44.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -70%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked No | 56c | 44.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 44c | 44.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…5385backed Yes | 48c | 41.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 55c | 33.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…d3b7backed No | 61c | 32.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…8e7abacked No | 75c | 32.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 54c | 31.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…95dabacked Yes | 52c | 25.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Yes | 40c | 24.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 69c | 20.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed No | 72c | 20.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cb…c1dcbacked No | 70c | 19.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e7…3de8backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…7fb5backed No | 74c | 17.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +210.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or higher on March 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.