Fifa International · resolved market
England to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d1c6d9af12cba0b48eaf38dfc42e2087d8d5bea816631c4123d9e74667d034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 74c | 1,858$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 30c | 923.3$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.99 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 70c | 867$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 25c | 658.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 25c | 647.24$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 70c | 494.88$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.76 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 5c | 475$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 30c | 439.91$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 29c | 412.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…2318backed Yes | 72c | 394.24$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…5e5fbacked No | 28c | 394.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 10c | 382$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 71c | 226.18$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…f7f8backed Yes | 73c | 136.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 30c | 136.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 27c | 124.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 29c | 120.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 18c | 109.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…163abacked No | 29c | 102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 29c | 91.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…6b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…d39fbacked Yes | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5332…8af4backed Yes | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Yes | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England to win the second half?this page
- Panama to win the second half?No won
- Panama vs. England: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.