Tennis · resolved market
Milan: Daniel Rincon vs Facundo Acosta
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a8213d4260abc07817a1677358c34c39595396f202e51f90b8be90890576d54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Acostaof Daniel Rincon, Facundo Acosta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x658e…d758backed Facundo Acosta | 54c | 5,726$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.15 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Daniel Rincon | 36c | 4,716$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.4 | 4,277 | 45%1,925 W · 2,352 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Facundo Acosta | 55c | 4,533$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.52 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Rincon | 45c | 2,398$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.13 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Facundo Acosta | 72c | 2,166$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.93 | 2,153 | 54.1%1,165 W · 988 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Daniel Rincon | 37c | 2,103$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.93 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Facundo Acosta | 56c | 1,999$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.56 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Facundo Acosta | 67c | 1,855$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.6 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daniel Rincon | 43c | 1,798$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.83 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Rincon | 33c | 1,585$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.74 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Facundo Acosta | 77c | 1,563$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.55 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Rincon | 21c | 1,496$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.52 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Facundo Acosta | 63c | 1,068$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.46 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…4917backed Daniel Rincon | 32c | 1,043$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.74 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Daniel Rincon | 44c | 806.16$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.71 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Facundo Acosta | 75c | 621.15$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Facundo Acosta | 78c | 579.31$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 1,837 | 46.5%855 W · 982 L | +20.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Daniel Rincon | 20c | 548.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Rincon | 34c | 499.7$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.29 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Facundo Acosta | 56c | 472.03$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.38 | 442 | 47.3%209 W · 233 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…47a0backed Daniel Rincon | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d77…571bbacked Daniel Rincon | 23c | 439.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Facundo Acosta | 78c | 411.06$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 2,078 | 46.7%970 W · 1,108 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Daniel Rincon | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Facundo Acosta | 75c | 271.14$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Facundo Acosta | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 197 | 53.3%105 W · 92 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Facundo Acosta | 79c | 227.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 2,059 | 59.5%1,226 W · 833 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Facundo Acosta | 62c | 219.75$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Daniel Rincon | 8c | 205.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 2,899 | 39.6%1,147 W · 1,752 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Daniel Rincon | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,306 | 65.3%853 W · 453 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Daniel Rincon | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Facundo Acosta | 53c | 185.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Daniel Rincon | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Facundo Acosta | 64c | 154.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Daniel Rincon | 23c | 150.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Daniel Rincon | 39c | 127.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Daniel Rincon | 40c | 106$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Facundo Acosta | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Facundo Acosta | 51c | 75.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 385 | 54.5%210 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Facundo Acosta | 64c | 74.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 2,104 | 44.5%937 W · 1,167 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Daniel Rincon | 27c | 72.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Daniel Rincon | 31c | 68.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Daniel Rincon | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Facundo Acosta | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Daniel Rincon | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Daniel Rincon | 20c | 56.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Daniel Rincon | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Facundo Acosta | 78c | 53.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Daniel Rincon | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Daniel Rincon | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…d91bbacked Daniel Rincon | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Facundo Acosta | 67c | 43.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 2,090 | 52.2%1,091 W · 999 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Daniel Rincon | 42c | 43.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1,133 | 56.8%643 W · 490 L | +54.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Daniel Rincon | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…4cbdbacked Facundo Acosta | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Facundo Acosta | 55c | 34.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 802 | 51%409 W · 393 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Daniel Rincon | 45c | 34.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Facundo Acosta | 71c | 27.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 747 | 46.1%344 W · 403 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Facundo Acosta | 79c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 207 | 71%147 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Facundo Acosta | 56c | 25.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Facundo Acosta | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Facundo Acosta | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Facundo Acosta | 79c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 3,359 | 48.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L | -49.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Facundo Acosta | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…a164backed Daniel Rincon | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.47per pick | 42cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Facundo Acosta | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked Facundo Acosta | 66c | 15.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Facundo Acosta | 68c | 15.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Facundo Acosta | 79c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.