MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6abc7237c17d26f26bf904f8c4f8539299810fd3d7e45138ce5d8b3c93fa8705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 40c | 2,571$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked LG Twins | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.67 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed SSG Landers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SSG Landers | 5c | 917.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed LG Twins | 50c | 910.84$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.42 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed LG Twins | 51c | 900.71$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.4 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed SSG Landers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed SSG Landers | 48c | 610$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed SSG Landers | 42c | 575.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.69 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed LG Twins | 58c | 502.19$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.23 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed SSG Landers | 49c | 397.12$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed LG Twins | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked LG Twins | 51c | 295.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SSG Landers | 12c | 281.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 21c | 261.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked LG Twins | 63c | 200.22$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked LG Twins | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed SSG Landers | 47c | 194.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed SSG Landers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed LG Twins | 51c | 137.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed LG Twins | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LG Twins | 47c | 117.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked SSG Landers | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked LG Twins | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed SSG Landers | 56c | 89.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…b68ebacked SSG Landers | 52c | 84.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed LG Twins | 56c | 83.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked SSG Landers | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 77c | 75.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed LG Twins | 50c | 74.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed LG Twins | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed LG Twins | 50c | 60.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed SSG Landers | 28c | 59.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed LG Twins | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed LG Twins | 55c | 52.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed LG Twins | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…289cbacked LG Twins | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed LG Twins | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SSG Landers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed LG Twins | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed LG Twins | 51c | 27.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked LG Twins | 61c | 24.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…f801backed SSG Landers | 50c | 24.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…735ebacked LG Twins | 50c | 24.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed LG Twins | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…44b9backed SSG Landers | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec88…8c12backed LG Twins | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed LG Twins | 50c | 20.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed LG Twins | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed LG Twins | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…5b6fbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.