MLB · resolved market
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac76f90e12d661d5b30a443e019c30f2cdfa4d85b77f3ef576a2da63fdfb05e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Colorado Rockies, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 27c | 3,970$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.39 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 2,828$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.86 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 1,353$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.27 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 931.8$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 844$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.53 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 712.05$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 533.97$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 26c | 423.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 16c | 418.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 403.28$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.88 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 358.5$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.21 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 80c | 337.64$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 174.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked San Diego Padres | 76c | 174.54$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Colorado Rockies | 24c | 140.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Colorado Rockies | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Colorado Rockies | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 84.48$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 80.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed San Diego Padres | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Colorado Rockies | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 50.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 39.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 38.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked San Diego Padres | 77c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 12.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 13.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 14.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 15.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.