MLB · resolved market
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14979b3c8113c2d09c77608bde096d2922a49cd656288a4e81210d186ad1b572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof San Diego Padres, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 67,221$34,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,231.92 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 50,402$24,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,527.72 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 13,928$7,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,795.28 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,735$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.67 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 1,655$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.5 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 1,271$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.03 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 976.17$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.09 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 38c | 696$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.88 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 22c | 655.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 13c | 601.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 540.63$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 532$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 484.5$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.52 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 365$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 315$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 283$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.69 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 269.83$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.69 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 267.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked San Diego Padres | 21c | 230$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 189.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Colorado Rockies | 80c | 158.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 147.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 138.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked San Diego Padres | 17c | 133$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 131.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 107.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 106.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 103$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 424 | 55.4%235 W · 189 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 98.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 85.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…bb0fbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 76c | 76.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 73.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…a9d5backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 54.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 53.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 246 | 44.7%110 W · 136 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…d8d7backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 52.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…30b1backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 49.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 44.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 43.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 41.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 40.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Diego Padres | 35c | 33.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 32.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Colorado Rockies | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 20.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 12.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 13.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 14.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 15.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.