Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Hayu Kinoshita
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb2fa9f6e0b9b8e1bf63ef6e9acf325ea8c1e99ddeafbb6b44c3a50a6d5e0f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mariam Bolkvadzeof Mariam Bolkvadze, Hayu Kinoshita
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Hayu Kinoshita | 58c | 9,025$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.33 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hayu Kinoshita | 26c | 4,457$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Hayu Kinoshita | 57c | 3,696$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.67 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 43c | 3,455$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.84 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 42c | 2,976$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.85 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 71c | 2,100$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.13 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 42c | 1,287$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.63 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Hayu Kinoshita | 7c | 1,019$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 42c | 1,001$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.32 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 44c | 954$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 37c | 573.33$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 44c | 519$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.45 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 44c | 497$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.32 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 76c | 495.26$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 42c | 442.63$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.73 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Hayu Kinoshita | 23c | 437.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 30c | 381.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 45c | 321$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hayu Kinoshita | 56c | 314.77$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 51c | 271.16$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 55c | 265.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.39 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Hayu Kinoshita | 18c | 252.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Hayu Kinoshita | 54c | 242.19$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 43c | 235.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 42c | 214.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Hayu Kinoshita | 18c | 202$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 48c | 201.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 58c | 189.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 42c | 186$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…9a30backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 76c | 144.17$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 78c | 130.17$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 42c | 129.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 43c | 115.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Hayu Kinoshita | 58c | 112.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 69c | 109.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Hayu Kinoshita | 57c | 104.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 14c | 100.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf0…4972backed Hayu Kinoshita | 57c | 93.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 43c | 90.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Hayu Kinoshita | 47c | 87.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 42c | 76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d8…f664backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 44c | 67.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 42c | 63.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 53c | 57.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 37c | 55.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…042ebacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 79c | 50.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 43c | 35.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Hayu Kinoshita | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Hayu Kinoshita | 58c | 34.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 42c | 33.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 43c | 32.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Hayu Kinoshita | 40c | 28.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 43c | 26.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Hayu Kinoshita | 56c | 26.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 58c | 21.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.