Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Gators vs. Duke Blue Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cdd0d3c5c79b8d8aefb58baa61759f2b4db3c09539a2fca0551a0bbe6b9e334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Duke Blue Devilsof Florida Gators, Duke Blue Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 11,640$9,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.84 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gators | 20c | 10,062$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.08 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 9,214$7,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.2 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Florida Gators | 19c | 7,203$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Florida Gators | 21c | 5,268$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.55 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Florida Gators | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Duke Blue Devils | 73c | 4,976$3,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.61 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Florida Gators | 61c | 4,420$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.97 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Florida Gators | 20c | 3,020$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.92 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 2,933$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.42 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ed9backed Florida Gators | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida Gators | 19c | 1,796$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.05 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gators | 20c | 1,581$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Florida Gators | 22c | 1,571$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.19 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida Gators | 18c | 1,508$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.52 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Florida Gators | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 1,309$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.89 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Florida Gators | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 1,120$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Florida Gators | 21c | 1,027$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.27 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 938.75$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.25 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed Florida Gators | 22c | 771.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Florida Gators | 20c | 692$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Florida Gators | 24c | 626.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Florida Gators | 18c | 614.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Florida Gators | 18c | 606.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Florida Gators | 21c | 605.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Florida Gators | 13c | 601.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Duke Blue Devils | 80c | 562.95$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Florida Gators | 18c | 499.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed Florida Gators | 21c | 476.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Duke Blue Devils | 43c | 429.62$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.77 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 421.79$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Florida Gators | 22c | 400.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Gators | 15c | 398.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Gators | 20c | 389.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Florida Gators | 17c | 334.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Duke Blue Devils | 78c | 326.67$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Florida Gators | 16c | 309$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75a9…1f50backed Florida Gators | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Florida Gators | 17c | 270.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Florida Gators | 19c | 260$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Florida Gators | 17c | 252.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…82c3backed Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Florida Gators | 18c | 198.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Florida Gators | 21c | 185.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Florida Gators | 20c | 184$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Duke Blue Devils | 70c | 177$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Florida Gators | 20c | 127.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Florida Gators | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Duke Blue Devils | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Florida Gators | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Florida Gators | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Florida Gators | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Florida Gators | 15c | 95.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…fa14backed Florida Gators | 12c | 89.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Florida Gators | 23c | 86.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed Florida Gators | 18c | 83.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Duke Blue Devils | 79c | 74.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Florida Gators | 24c | 61.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…bc6dbacked Florida Gators | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…c347backed Duke Blue Devils | 53c | 54.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Florida Gators | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Florida Gators | 30c | 40.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…ac4bbacked Duke Blue Devils | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Duke Blue Devils | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.