CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cff7839f3e4d39e03d5bd6e385c102ff3361f560c748e0219c79dbe7890c5c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 49c | 17,411$8,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,879.37 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 51c | 9,806$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.71 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 30c | 3,686$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.93 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…d455backed Under | 49c | 3,030$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Over | 30c | 2,975$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.35 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 30c | 2,367$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.94 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 32c | 1,716$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.03 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 33c | 1,587$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.68 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 1,498$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.55 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 61c | 1,034$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.71 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 69c | 962.73$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.84 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 62c | 462$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.52 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 47c | 312.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.34 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 47c | 287.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.23 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Under | 47c | 202.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 49c | 153.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 54c | 138.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 502 | 51%256 W · 246 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 33c | 111$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 30c | 93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 64c | 84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 49c | 65.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…ca12backed Over | 59c | 42.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 336 | 50%168 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…fc6cbacked Under | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…2be4backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked Under | 49c | 31.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 52c | 25.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebd…6dc0backed Over | 61c | 24.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 137 | 67.9%93 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Over | 51c | 23.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 48c | 21.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…c5a6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1TYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)TYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.