CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d68e24cbc31ed02854d7e59a187bed24d0b49b942d6cdc67433d79ed2a9854d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 46c | 3,273$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 55c | 3,050$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.5 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Over | 52c | 2,146$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.21 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 77c | 1,843$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.91 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 54c | 1,222$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.12 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 69c | 1,197$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.39 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Under | 54c | 1,159$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.17 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 55c | 1,113$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.78 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 45c | 997.86$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.04 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 33c | 774.53$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.53 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 26c | 690.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.75 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 39c | 608.76$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.05 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 28c | 558.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.45 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 55c | 309.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.45 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 34c | 292.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.71 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 29c | 193.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.42 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 61c | 186.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.76 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 17c | 172.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 34c | 169.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 66c | 165.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 55c | 160.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 36c | 123.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 63c | 107.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 100.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 65c | 95.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 44c | 93.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 18c | 93.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Under | 55c | 90.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed Over | 50c | 86.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 32c | 83.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 67c | 62.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 68c | 51.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 58c | 51.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Over | 59c | 50.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 31c | 48.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Under | 56c | 44.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under | 57c | 44.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 43c | 44.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 60c | 41.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 42c | 38.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Over | 46c | 34.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…957fbacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group AB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.