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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Bellarmine Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bellarmine Knightsof Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, Bellarmine Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b47…d615backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles52c5,733$2,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.8174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles33c4,527$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.3449345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bellarmine Knights74c3,961$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.265,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bellarmine Knights63c2,864$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.941,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bellarmine Knights47c1,881$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.171,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bellarmine Knights49c1,498$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.942,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bellarmine Knights47c1,242$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.3412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Bellarmine Knights48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26081453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles55c477.57$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.4289645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles11c439.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles41c371.05$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8438345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bellarmine Knights46c335$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.52,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Bellarmine Knights47c334.13$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e4…ec34backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles17c317.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.891,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles54c299.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bellarmine Knights55c277.31$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7468254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles8c252.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.012,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles53c249.05$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7844146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Bellarmine Knights71c224.02$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6399848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bellarmine Knights46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles45c195$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7949747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles47c194.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.124,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bellarmine Knights58c189.62$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.772,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles17c180$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.911,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bellarmine Knights47c170.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.091,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles63c160$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles32c153.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Bellarmine Knights47c113.2$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles53c113.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Bellarmine Knights50c80.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.292,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Bellarmine Knights45c78.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.127656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles29c77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.993,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bellarmine Knights54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Bellarmine Knights48c51.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5462451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Bellarmine Knights48c48.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.235637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Bellarmine Knights46c47.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7218230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Bellarmine Knights46c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3875447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Bellarmine Knights47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7921443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bellarmine Knights50c40.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.151,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bellarmine Knights46c36.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.511,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bellarmine Knights58c35.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.031,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles54c34.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7311252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Bellarmine Knights49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.319851.5%102 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles56c28.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1639050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x077a…ec51backed Bellarmine Knights73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.43956.4%22 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Florida Gulf Coast Eagles55c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Bellarmine Knights67c15.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1113651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Bellarmine Knights75c15.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.852171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.