Mls · resolved market
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d9971aaabc470ee6055d881524b9b5d2887fe5fe0ceff244ce5fe0b548a028c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 16,643$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.82 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 9,846$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.02 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 21c | 3,674$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.11 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 4c | 3,636$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.73 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 18c | 1,718$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 17c | 1,699$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.82 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Yes | 2c | 1,658$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 1,380$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.12 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 4c | 1,071$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 18c | 914.14$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.55 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 10c | 750.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 7c | 714.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 632$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 8c | 617.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f8…f047backed Yes | 23c | 591$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 578.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 17c | 574.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Yes | 17c | 494$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 15c | 457.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 17c | 404.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 15c | 296$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 18c | 270.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 11c | 229.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed No | 75c | 220$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 14c | 205.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 6c | 176.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 14c | 176$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 7c | 163$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 143$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 77c | 119$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 110.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 13c | 92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Yes | 17c | 91.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 12c | 91.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 85.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 15c | 79.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…41b2backed Yes | 18c | 76.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 75.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 17c | 70.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 18c | 64.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 19c | 64.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 18c | 58.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 80c | 51.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed No | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…a4c9backed No | 80c | 24.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.